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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Oklahoma Sooners vs. Vanderbilt Commodores

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oklahoma Soonersof Oklahoma Sooners, Vanderbilt Commodores
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,358

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,821 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Oklahoma Sooners50c13,669$6,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,865.095,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Vanderbilt Commodores39c4,037$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.31,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Vanderbilt Commodores31c3,680$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.875,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Oklahoma Sooners43c3,214$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.81662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Vanderbilt Commodores12c3,190$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.282,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Vanderbilt Commodores21c1,925$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.326235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oklahoma Sooners12c1,701$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.92,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vanderbilt Commodores35c1,622$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.091,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Vanderbilt Commodores20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005820.7%12 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Vanderbilt Commodores23c1,380$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3186538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Oklahoma Sooners65c1,126$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.074,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Oklahoma Sooners55c720.82$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.272,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores17c706.94$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.941,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Oklahoma Sooners14c500$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43056444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Vanderbilt Commodores8c457.2$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2334343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma Sooners12c413.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.4612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Oklahoma Sooners66c411.06$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.433,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Oklahoma Sooners51c361.87$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.6777142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Vanderbilt Commodores50c352.7$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.211,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaad5…ac2ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores35c345.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209745.4%44 W · 53 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Vanderbilt Commodores20c345$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6912749.6%63 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Vanderbilt Commodores51c335.16$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17215733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Oklahoma Sooners67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.519769.1%67 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Vanderbilt Commodores43c287.74$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…5d96backed Oklahoma Sooners66c286.73$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.492564%16 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Oklahoma Sooners18c282.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.449525.3%24 W · 71 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Vanderbilt Commodores21c274.38$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4214325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Oklahoma Sooners54c252.62$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9668254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Oklahoma Sooners13c216$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.929355.9%52 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Vanderbilt Commodores12c207.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.831,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Vanderbilt Commodores25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Oklahoma Sooners31c193.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7123331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Vanderbilt Commodores35c179.86$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.138345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Vanderbilt Commodores49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.322640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Oklahoma Sooners63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734257.1%24 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oklahoma Sooners49c140.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.211,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Vanderbilt Commodores13c121.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.677247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Oklahoma Sooners13c114$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.188050%40 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oklahoma Sooners72c101.97$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.254,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Vanderbilt Commodores27c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4427358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a0…3fb7backed Vanderbilt Commodores26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Oklahoma Sooners26c76.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9715037.3%56 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Vanderbilt Commodores53c75.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.745341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Oklahoma Sooners54c58.91$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0319332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Vanderbilt Commodores64c49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5319138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Oklahoma Sooners63c45.43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6730945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba83…4f66backed Oklahoma Sooners66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.732263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Oklahoma Sooners46c21.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5713651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Vanderbilt Commodores56c19.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.149264.1%59 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76e7…1872backed Vanderbilt Commodores63c17.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb732…e416backed Vanderbilt Commodores74c14.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.