Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25ef63f39f9110ec5e749cd68f9295ddc79600a9c6c6b383fda0ec2b764c99c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 69c | 1,152$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.96 | 1,858 | 42.7%793 W · 1,065 L | +50.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 46c | 856.25$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.3 | 1,615 | 23.9%386 W · 1,229 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 419.26$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.78 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 71c | 402.84$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.78 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 74c | 363.73$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.06 | 892 | 59.8%533 W · 359 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 68c | 275.89$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 3,064 | 33.5%1,027 W · 2,037 L | +13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…db74backed No | 64c | 189$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 305 | 26.9%82 W · 223 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 31c | 160$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 2,439 | 58%1,414 W · 1,025 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 31c | 160$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 997 | 57.2%570 W · 427 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 187 | 22.5%42 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…0bb7backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 88 | 22.7%20 W · 68 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744f…caffbacked Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…95bebacked Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6b5dbacked Yes | 31c | 149.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.65 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 40c | 145.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.85 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked No | 77c | 143.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 535 | 48.2%258 W · 277 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa387…3d3cbacked Yes | 23c | 133.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 29c | 133$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 637 | 33.4%213 W · 424 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 46c | 129.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked No | 61c | 124.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 221 | 60.6%134 W · 87 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 65c | 115.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 2,295 | 59.3%1,360 W · 935 L | +118.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…2c94backed Yes | 47c | 114.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 183 | 19.7%36 W · 147 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 39c | 105.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 1,458 | 27.8%406 W · 1,052 L | +77.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…6298backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…d5b4backed No | 72c | 101$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Yes | 25c | 97.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 74c | 94.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 697 | 58.4%407 W · 290 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 28c | 93.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 600 | 32%192 W · 408 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 60c | 92.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 68c | 91.86$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yes | 32c | 90$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 279 | 44.4%124 W · 155 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 67c | 84.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 554 | 22.4%124 W · 430 L | -21.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 29c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 4,700 | 26.6%1,248 W · 3,452 L | +64.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed No | 74c | 79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 64c | 76.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 3,725 | 33.8%1,258 W · 2,467 L | -194.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…7307backed Yes | 41c | 75.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 30c | 74.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 5,625 | 47.8%2,687 W · 2,938 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 27c | 74.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 4,009 | 47.3%1,897 W · 2,112 L | +71.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 71c | 73.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 169 | 58.6%99 W · 70 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 27c | 72.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 1,421 | 31.1%442 W · 979 L | -93.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 70c | 69.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 2,223 | 56.1%1,247 W · 976 L | +54.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…6eb1backed Yes | 38c | 68.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 30c | 66.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 2,362 | 20.6%486 W · 1,876 L | -63.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 51c | 64.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 486 | 39.7%193 W · 293 L | +21.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…8d4fbacked No | 73c | 61.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 112 | 72.3%81 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 69c | 61.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 2,254 | 56.9%1,283 W · 971 L | +69.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 786 | 27.1%213 W · 573 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 678 | 38.6%262 W · 416 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 66c | 50.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 30c | 49.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 901 | 55.7%502 W · 399 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…454ebacked Yes | 28c | 49.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 300 | 41%123 W · 177 L | +26.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed No | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 329 | 38.3%126 W · 203 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…73f7backed Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 268 | 63.1%169 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…c1c8backed Yes | 25c | 44.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c3…92fcbacked No | 70c | 42.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 52.6%112 W · 101 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 29c | 42.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 1,523 | 15.4%234 W · 1,289 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…297dbacked Yes | 29c | 41.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 207 | 11.6%24 W · 183 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 72c | 41.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 5,003 | 53.5%2,678 W · 2,325 L | +31.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1,014 | 51.6%523 W · 491 L | +108.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 28c | 39.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…eaa7backed Yes | 29c | 36.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 36.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 9,962 | 45.9%4,572 W · 5,390 L | -309.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 527 | 43.6%230 W · 297 L | +31.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 493 | 63.5%313 W · 180 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5376…e781backed No | 57c | 34.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…0003backed No | 56c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 72c | 31.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 10,044 | 44.8%4,500 W · 5,544 L | +257.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 523 | 47.6%249 W · 274 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 72c | 29.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 2,201 | 56.8%1,250 W · 951 L | +69.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 28.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 1,632 | 60.7%990 W · 642 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 47c | 26.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,067 | 50.7%541 W · 526 L | +29.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 2,189 | 59.7%1,306 W · 883 L | +26.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 67c | 23.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 2,254 | 58.2%1,311 W · 943 L | +84.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 74c | 23.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 2,216 | 56.8%1,258 W · 958 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…840abacked Yes | 45c | 22.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 390 | 70.5%275 W · 115 L | +65.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 75c | 20.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,314 | 54%709 W · 605 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked No | 63c | 20.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -19.9wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…3f9dbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 467 | 36.8%172 W · 295 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18cf…7439backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 80c | 19.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 255 | 64.7%165 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked No | 76c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 68c | 17.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 5,836 | 60%3,502 W · 2,334 L | -112.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 73c | 17.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2,233 | 56%1,250 W · 983 L | +47.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.