Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26ebe40cfed2b7c6a23639aa4efdd53fed3c0b25f262d2ff894583a598d9e21a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec64…17c9backed No | 64c | 516.4$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 33c | 276.15$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39c8backed Yes | 42c | 230.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 223 | 35.9%80 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 34c | 196.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 35c | 181.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 154.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 40c | 147.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 147$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 62c | 136.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 61c | 127.58$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 26c | 116.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 70c | 111.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…17afbacked Yes | 39c | 111.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 40c | 103.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…a8f4backed No | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…74b9backed No | 76c | 94.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 58c | 78.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed Yes | 42c | 77.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 46c | 74.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 58c | 70.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…fd39backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 28c | 66.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 57c | 63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked No | 75c | 59.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 37c | 59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 34c | 58.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 33c | 57.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…8929backed Yes | 28c | 57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 34c | 56.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Yes | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0ec3backed Yes | 46c | 53.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 132 | 66.7%88 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 61c | 50.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a1…a26bbacked No | 56c | 50.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…1096backed No | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed Yes | 42c | 46.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 31c | 43.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 68c | 42.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 34c | 42.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…65cfbacked No | 60c | 42.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 68c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Yes | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 56c | 41.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 34c | 40.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 58c | 38.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 44c | 38.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 41c | 37.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4286…4372backed Yes | 36c | 37.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 57c | 37.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed Yes | 44c | 35.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 40c | 35.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 56c | 34.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 59c | 31.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 60c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…b090backed No | 68c | 30.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 183 | 65.6%120 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…c430backed Yes | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 59c | 26.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 46c | 25.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 63c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 41c | 24.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 64c | 24.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 58c | 23.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 57c | 23.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 66c | 22.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 21.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 58c | 20.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 80c | 20.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.01 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 64c | 17.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 63c | 17.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 65c | 16.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…dd79backed No | 61c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0a…71dabacked No | 69c | 15.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…bc07backed No | 78c | 14.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on June 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.