Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29c5622e925f8af8c66123d24c50fae76e7a06ae899bd9d8974884e8e8210121
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 5c | 1,291$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 71c | 792.14$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.57 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 6c | 644.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 73c | 644$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.94 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 5c | 586.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4f…b7b7backed Yes | 73c | 563.39$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33f2…4fc0backed No | 40c | 454.1$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.65 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed No | 6c | 450$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d0…6d36backed Yes | 65c | 433.32$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 413.79$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x525c…23acbacked No | 8c | 381.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…4e63backed No | 5c | 342.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 76c | 329.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 54c | 327$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 6c | 322.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…8217backed Yes | 79c | 321.52$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2189…13f1backed Yes | 66c | 313$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.84 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 75c | 253.17$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81d3…9972backed Yes | 80c | 243.92$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 26c | 243.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 73c | 239.55$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed No | 11c | 224.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed No | 44c | 214.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…b8eabacked No | 28c | 210.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 27c | 199.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…b8c0backed No | 27c | 195.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 328 | 30.5%100 W · 228 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9471…eb8abacked No | 6c | 177.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 74c | 163.55$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 14c | 163.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 25c | 161.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 29c | 155.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 27c | 154.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…a796backed Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 25c | 149.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 36c | 145.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d4…4cf3backed Yes | 77c | 143.37$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…626abacked Yes | 77c | 139.18$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 12c | 132.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 131.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 21c | 113.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9540…9f9abacked Yes | 61c | 110.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked No | 44c | 107.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…8faabacked Yes | 80c | 106.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 78c | 103.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…a248backed Yes | 78c | 103.84$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…ca83backed No | 46c | 103.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…ba7fbacked Yes | 61c | 102.46$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…dbdcbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 71c | 99.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 76c | 98.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a29…c361backed Yes | 78c | 97.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…ddd7backed Yes | 76c | 97.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…6144backed Yes | 53c | 97.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…7e87backed No | 26c | 96.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…b286backed Yes | 45c | 96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…6f63backed No | 13c | 95.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…5fbebacked Yes | 74c | 91.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…6c41backed No | 18c | 90.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed No | 26c | 90.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c2…f1d3backed Yes | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 79c | 86.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 71c | 85.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…0147backed No | 21c | 81.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 75c | 81.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 30c | 77.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…1ad2backed No | 20c | 77.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 58c | 75.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2e…027cbacked Yes | 76c | 73.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 51c | 72.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 73c | 71.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 26c | 70.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…c918backed Yes | 53c | 69.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x416f…18d8backed No | 23c | 68.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…fb59backed Yes | 72c | 67.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…b69abacked Yes | 72c | 67.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…953bbacked Yes | 72c | 67.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dd…3f39backed Yes | 74c | 65.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…0e12backed Yes | 77c | 65.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…4c3abacked No | 30c | 64.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 161 | 59%95 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 75c | 63.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bab…f109backed Yes | 68c | 63.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…e84abacked Yes | 77c | 63.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…bc41backed Yes | 78c | 63.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…96f0backed Yes | 79c | 61.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed Yes | 78c | 61.11$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 68c | 60.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…a49abacked Yes | 59c | 58.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…a647backed Yes | 71c | 51.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 58c | 50.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda26…8fefbacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c81…1b64backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…ee5dbacked No | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 74c | 49.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed Yes | 71c | 49.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6d55backed Yes | 72c | 48.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 27c | 47.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 70c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.