MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2af9fe3e173d7dd77ff2d6ca14dd627b19d285eb67a7c51597cba26369f1c081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Atlanta Braves, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Atlanta Braves | 32c | 15,832$5,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,066.09 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 9,067$6,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.29 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 9,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 7,895$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.28 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Toronto Blue Jays | 76c | 7,144$5,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 30c | 5,488$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.93 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 4,700$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 4,427$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.7 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 4,368$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.09 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 4,290$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.42 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 2,450$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 2,158$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 2,027$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 1,975$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.74 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 1,911$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.58 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 1,388$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.66 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,296$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.71 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 900$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 860$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 820.19$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.47 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 820$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.2 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 766.99$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.78 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 730.64$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.57 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 652.81$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.01 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 624.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.2 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 609.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.94 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 567.31$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 559.88$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.73 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 504.54$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.4 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 28c | 482.01$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…60aebacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 475.42$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 467.56$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 466.87$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.07 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 406.61$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 66c | 351$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.34 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlanta Braves | 35c | 342.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 287$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Atlanta Braves | 34c | 283.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 230.93$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.3 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 208.16$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 205$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 192.68$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 166$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 146.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Atlanta Braves | 34c | 138.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 133.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…bfe9backed Atlanta Braves | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 110.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974d…bd82backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 101.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 100.1$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Atlanta Braves | 34c | 99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 79.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 71.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Atlanta Braves | 34c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…e42fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +69%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 60.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 52.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Atlanta Braves | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 46.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 44.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe17f…fd85backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 44.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…d381backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 37.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 31.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Atlanta Braves | 34c | 30.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Atlanta Braves | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 24.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 24.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 23.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 18.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 16.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e4…5583backed Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.