Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b2051da1d60e3ba2880a02a8bb8c929d1b6af36030f503caf1a7141ccc7ac31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 42c | 737.61$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.43 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 70c | 735.27$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.84 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 79c | 529.81$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.33 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 29c | 428.13$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.93 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…079dbacked Yes | 8c | 341.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 11c | 325.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 60c | 317.18$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.96 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 67c | 296.61$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 58c | 284.98$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.61 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 64c | 216.27$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 65c | 209.29$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 40c | 208.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 30c | 187.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…e7edbacked Yes | 36c | 173$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 547 | 35.5%194 W · 353 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 41c | 170.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 166.24$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked No | 51c | 153$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 57c | 151.44$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 38c | 145.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 41c | 140.18$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 59c | 130.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 40c | 127.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…400ebacked Yes | 33c | 121.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 116 | 14.7%17 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 119$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 57c | 111.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 26c | 110.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 24c | 110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 37c | 105$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 182 | 35.2%64 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 66c | 98.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1655…08e1backed No | 53c | 97.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 71c | 92.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 20c | 92.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 90.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 87.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…81b0backed No | 51c | 86.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 61c | 79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed Yes | 41c | 76.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 27c | 75.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…1ad3backed Yes | 42c | 72.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +72%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 63c | 71.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 58c | 69.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 69.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 36c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…5c70backed Yes | 44c | 60.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 21c | 57.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 39c | 49.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 32c | 49.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 58c | 47.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 60c | 47.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed No | 63c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 174 | 33.9%59 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed No | 65c | 44.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 511 | 56.6%289 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 38c | 43.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 37c | 41.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…8792backed No | 41c | 40.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7135…4c0dbacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…6270backed Yes | 39c | 35.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed No | 63c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 255 | 60.8%155 W · 100 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…c059backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed No | 47c | 33.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 182 | 40.1%73 W · 109 L | -16.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa747…bebcbacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 38c | 31.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…4dedbacked Yes | 39c | 30.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked No | 77c | 25.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 70c | 24.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5f…d2d9backed No | 58c | 24.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…7d12backed Yes | 42c | 24.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 301 | 36.9%111 W · 190 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 68c | 23.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b8…dd29backed No | 60c | 23.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 61c | 20.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 552 | 61.6%340 W · 212 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 1,043 | 62.9%656 W · 387 L | -11.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…e621backed No | 67c | 18.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 69c | 17.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.