Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e5e981c069e707b60d6e2e0f3e9af235f41b85f830efd200b16d33afa4f8f6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 15c | 1,395$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.41 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked Yes | 73c | 712.92$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.5 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00eb…313cbacked Yes | 16c | 399.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.9 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 23c | 359.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 9c | 325$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 13c | 304.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b82…73c3backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 285.5$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.11 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 21c | 282.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 246.62$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 8c | 227$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.73 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed Yes | 10c | 219.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.64 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 32c | 209.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bd…2c9dbacked Yes | 61c | 203.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 213 | 40.8%87 W · 126 L | +23.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…b0aebacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 99 | 9.1%9 W · 90 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…81b0backed No | 78c | 189.67$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 79c | 189.4$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…1363backed No | 79c | 189.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 63c | 184.52$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.06 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 62c | 179.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…61c4backed No | 38c | 175.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | +19.0wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 25c | 158.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…6968backed Yes | 62c | 150.92$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 17c | 145$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea7…1523backed Yes | 64c | 139.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…21b8backed Yes | 31c | 138.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 435 | 40.5%176 W · 259 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed No | 41c | 130.05$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 70c | 124.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 17c | 116.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd3…af33backed Yes | 72c | 113.07$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 69c | 112.16$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 60c | 101.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 1,034 | 51.3%530 W · 504 L | +69.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cb…6882backed No | 68c | 94.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c3…92fcbacked Yes | 73c | 82.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 176 | 49.4%87 W · 89 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…77e8backed Yes | 25c | 80.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 126 | 25.4%32 W · 94 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 22c | 79.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 17c | 69.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 17c | 67.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 24c | 66.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9668backed Yes | 59c | 60.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed Yes | 78c | 60.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4903…5929backed Yes | 33c | 59.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 78c | 57.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2851…6b8cbacked Yes | 48c | 53.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 683 | 38.8%265 W · 418 L | +36.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…733fbacked Yes | 65c | 53.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32a8…be9bbacked Yes | 58c | 51.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed No | 78c | 49.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 27c | 48.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 32c | 44.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 77c | 44.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 79c | 43.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ee…4806backed No | 48c | 41.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…a889backed No | 57c | 40.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c77…ff72backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 35c | 38.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…a526backed Yes | 69c | 38.88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 154 | 66.9%103 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 52c | 38.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde86…f015backed Yes | 47c | 38.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…1f86backed Yes | 53c | 37.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 235 | 60%141 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…ea0bbacked Yes | 44c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 40c | 36.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…5b8ebacked Yes | 65c | 36.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…ca22backed No | 35c | 35.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 206 | 60.2%124 W · 82 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 79c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e1…716dbacked Yes | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…262dbacked No | 41c | 30.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | +21.0wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 273 | 28.6%78 W · 195 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0288…ee2ebacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 222 | 32%71 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 77c | 29.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 136 | 72.1%98 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8db…7cd0backed Yes | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…5c82backed No | 42c | 26.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3efd…1f84backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…14babacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 75.2%115 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 60c | 25.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…af9fbacked No | 45c | 23.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…8c23backed Yes | 64c | 22.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 59c | 21.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…24e0backed No | 76c | 21.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 258 | 77.5%200 W · 58 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…8bfebacked Yes | 73c | 20.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 191 | 66.5%127 W · 64 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 58c | 18.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…b97ebacked No | 60c | 17.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 280 | 35.4%99 W · 181 L | -69.3wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…d5d9backed Yes | 70c | 17.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…acb7backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…f89cbacked Yes | 73c | 14.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 245 | 69.8%171 W · 74 L | +30.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.