Fifa International · resolved market
Canada to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2edacc669de9d614b1e262ae4f5072c1d7299e6a8bec96b8361d76dd4adfb220
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 54c | 8,448$4,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,520.74 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 47c | 4,422$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.97 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 3,052$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 51c | 2,226$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.2 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 52c | 1,684$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.87 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 55c | 1,418$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.96 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…72e7backed No | 54c | 1,194$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.76 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 52c | 1,052$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.61 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 45c | 946.17$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.89 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 45c | 834.56$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.01 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 47c | 716$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.48 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 78c | 639.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.58 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +28.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a024backed No | 21c | 440.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +7.7wins | +0.43per pick | 19cpaid | +216.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked No | 25c | 299.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 229.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 48c | 203.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 41c | 187.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 44c | 157.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 40c | 145.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 76c | 131$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 40c | 129.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 24c | 121$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…163abacked Yes | 35c | 106$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 105.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 65c | 105.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 35c | 105.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 58c | 104.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83db…8ee9backed Yes | 44c | 96.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 55c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 55c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 158 | 53.2%84 W · 74 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Yes | 75c | 59.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc106…c26cbacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed No | 30c | 56.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x436d…dadebacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 212 | 41.5%88 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457a…37d5backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…4dd5backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…d90abacked Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7f…cc9bbacked Yes | 47c | 34.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…e3d2backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 56c | 23.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 54c | 23.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…5cadbacked Yes | 48c | 23.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada to win the second half?this page
- South Africa to win the second half?No won
- South Africa vs. Canada: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.