Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Ruse (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32f1e6fbe9318dd30fdc1800ce8967ccc5790b8e9b16ac6ec8cb1625a548c308
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Muchovaof Muchova, Ruse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Muchova | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.92 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Ruse | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.96 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Muchova | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Ruse | 57c | 3,784$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Ruse | 57c | 2,085$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.55 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Muchova | 43c | 1,999$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.25 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Muchova | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.66 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ruse | 55c | 1,667$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.66 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Muchova | 44c | 1,298$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.78 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Ruse | 57c | 1,078$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.5 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Muchova | 49c | 1,011$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.8 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Muchova | 44c | 764.45$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.09 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Ruse | 57c | 741.63$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.73 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Ruse | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 207 | 49.8%103 W · 104 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Ruse | 56c | 673.91$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.2 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Ruse | 57c | 503.51$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ruse | 57c | 500.01$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.17 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Muchova | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Ruse | 55c | 413.73$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.99 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Ruse | 57c | 413.67$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.79 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Muchova | 46c | 370.37$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Ruse | 54c | 366.67$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ruse | 52c | 336.05$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.75 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd304…3ed2backed Ruse | 56c | 270$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Ruse | 40c | 248.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.57 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Ruse | 51c | 240$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Muchova | 44c | 185.75$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Ruse | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Muchova | 44c | 169.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Ruse | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Ruse | 57c | 139.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Muchova | 44c | 130$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Muchova | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Muchova | 44c | 101.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Muchova | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 220 | 59.5%131 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Muchova | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Ruse | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Ruse | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…fd98backed Ruse | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Ruse | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…48f7backed Ruse | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…ba30backed Ruse | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Ruse | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Ruse | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Ruse | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc06b…76ddbacked Ruse | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2e…9d98backed Ruse | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Ruse | 57c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Ruse | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ruse | 57c | 71.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Ruse | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Ruse | 46c | 64.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Ruse | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Ruse | 49c | 57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4846…32e0backed Muchova | 47c | 55.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Ruse | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Muchova | 45c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Muchova | 45c | 46.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Ruse | 43c | 46.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Muchova | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Ruse | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Muchova | 40c | 38.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Muchova | 47c | 36.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Ruse | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Muchova | 44c | 35.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Ruse | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…3026backed Ruse | 58c | 34.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Muchova | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Muchova | 42c | 29.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Muchova | 44c | 29.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Muchova | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ruse | 55c | 21.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Ruse | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Ruse (+1.5)this page
- Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Karolina MuchovaKarolina Muchova won
- Ruse vs. Muchova: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Ruse vs. Muchova: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruse vs MuchovaMuchova won
- Set 2 Winner: Ruse vs MuchovaMuchova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.