Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33a3af3c7ab14cad7b5dc45adc5d2197c52cadfc599b61f0944ee4db89727aa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 31c | 423.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.59 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 29c | 391.73$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.23 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 49c | 362.83$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.59 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 21c | 284.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.7 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 32c | 272.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 56c | 265.88$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.13 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 53c | 255.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 72c | 236.31$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 71c | 211.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 26c | 169.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 45c | 161.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 52c | 154.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 154$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.31 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 143.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.49 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 41c | 140.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 71c | 127.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 123.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 69c | 122.6$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 28c | 121.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 117.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 37c | 103.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…522dbacked Yes | 27c | 97.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…8c58backed Yes | 28c | 96.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 73c | 95.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 92.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 90.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 58c | 85.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 72c | 81.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 70c | 72.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 29c | 67.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 74c | 64.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186c…f982backed No | 78c | 59.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…d114backed No | 75c | 55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…2caebacked No | 80c | 50.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 229 | 37.1%85 W · 144 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…e864backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 60c | 49.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fc…0855backed Yes | 23c | 48.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 73c | 48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…7cacbacked Yes | 31c | 45.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 29c | 41.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 75c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…16b2backed Yes | 31c | 36.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 69c | 35.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 73c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 32c | 32.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…31e3backed No | 79c | 32.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 31.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 64c | 31.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 53c | 30.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 41c | 26.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 45c | 24.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…ae8dbacked Yes | 52c | 23.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | +28.7wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…1edbbacked Yes | 52c | 23.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…6e3ebacked No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 71c | 19.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 55c | 19.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C or higher on June 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.