Tennis · resolved market
Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33e847877e56e2b5e3e80a6ff5f7d5bffc9841b82ec05a350a4ce3b6490ebfb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lorenzo Sonegoof Adrian Mannarino, Lorenzo Sonego
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd607…842abacked Lorenzo Sonego | 60c | 43,482$26,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,370.76 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Adrian Mannarino | 35c | 20,000$6,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,930.47 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lorenzo Sonego | 70c | 17,472$12,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,178.57 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Adrian Mannarino | 29c | 7,954$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.36 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -8.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 4,911$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.5 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Adrian Mannarino | 25c | 4,557$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.9 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x246b…fb5bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 34c | 3,314$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.84 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 3,031$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 442 | 63.6%281 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lorenzo Sonego | 57c | 2,713$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.65 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 2,474$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.39 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 2,227$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.85 | 223 | 41.3%92 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 255 | 58%148 W · 107 L | +20.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 2,002$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 401 | 35.7%143 W · 258 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf67…1db4backed Lorenzo Sonego | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Adrian Mannarino | 31c | 1,938$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Adrian Mannarino | 44c | 1,858$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.34 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Adrian Mannarino | 31c | 1,805$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.5 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 44c | 1,703$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 1,544$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.35 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Adrian Mannarino | 43c | 1,188$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.93 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3f…d6e2backed Lorenzo Sonego | 69c | 1,010$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.3 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Adrian Mannarino | 43c | 999.97$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Adrian Mannarino | 43c | 989.44$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.57 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 78c | 927.58$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.77 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Lorenzo Sonego | 68c | 851.24$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.12 | 417 | 48.2%201 W · 216 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Adrian Mannarino | 11c | 799.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 1,102 | 52.2%575 W · 527 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Adrian Mannarino | 13c | 642.86$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.57 | 499 | 42.3%211 W · 288 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Lorenzo Sonego | 74c | 553.38$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.42 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19a1…d338backed Lorenzo Sonego | 57c | 525.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Adrian Mannarino | 43c | 500$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.86 | 380 | 38.2%145 W · 235 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Adrian Mannarino | 18c | 500$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 562 | 44.1%248 W · 314 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Adrian Mannarino | 12c | 500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…e45fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 30c | 480.77$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…5408backed Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 363.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0313…a2c7backed Lorenzo Sonego | 57c | 348.82$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Adrian Mannarino | 15c | 329$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…b7e4backed Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 307 | 47.9%147 W · 160 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lorenzo Sonego | 67c | 293.41$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b57…bf08backed Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 268.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48cb…82a2backed Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 236.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Lorenzo Sonego | 57c | 229.31$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f891backed Lorenzo Sonego | 73c | 205.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 278 | 67.3%187 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lorenzo Sonego | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 18c | 195.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Lorenzo Sonego | 78c | 178.75$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…64b1backed Adrian Mannarino | 43c | 167.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Adrian Mannarino | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 750 | 61.7%463 W · 287 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Lorenzo Sonego | 62c | 160.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Lorenzo Sonego | 76c | 148.09$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 578 | 41%237 W · 341 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 73c | 142.12$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 140.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Adrian Mannarino | 44c | 137$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Adrian Mannarino | 18c | 132.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 136 | 18.4%25 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Adrian Mannarino | 26c | 126.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 120.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 278 | 32.4%90 W · 188 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Adrian Mannarino | 37c | 107.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…1256backed Lorenzo Sonego | 57c | 105.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Lorenzo Sonego | 74c | 103.15$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 263 | 50.6%133 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Adrian Mannarino | 38c | 100.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Adrian Mannarino | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 456 | 46.3%211 W · 245 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f08…ead2backed Lorenzo Sonego | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1e…20aebacked Lorenzo Sonego | 61c | 96.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…0f99backed Lorenzo Sonego | 78c | 96.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Adrian Mannarino | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 171 | 56.7%97 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 31c | 91.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Lorenzo Sonego | 71c | 91.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 455 | 49.7%226 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…92c3backed Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 90.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Adrian Mannarino | 29c | 85.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorenzo Sonego | 77c | 83.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1767…7079backed Adrian Mannarino | 32c | 78.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Lorenzo Sonego | 57c | 74.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…ff71backed Lorenzo Sonego | 68c | 73.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 71.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 325 | 48%156 W · 169 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Lorenzo Sonego | 72c | 69.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Adrian Mannarino | 37c | 65.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 65.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Lorenzo Sonego | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…27d1backed Adrian Mannarino | 28c | 57.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Lorenzo Sonego | 68c | 56.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Adrian Mannarino | 43c | 56.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 593 | 47.4%281 W · 312 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lorenzo Sonego | 65c | 55.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…28c3backed Lorenzo Sonego | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 168 | 61.3%103 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Lorenzo Sonego | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…f972backed Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Lorenzo Sonego | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 389 | 51.2%199 W · 190 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Lorenzo Sonego | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Lorenzo Sonego | 79c | 36.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 210 | 63.8%134 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed Lorenzo Sonego | 57c | 35.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Lorenzo Sonego | 61c | 33.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 370 | 60%222 W · 148 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…1369backed Lorenzo Sonego | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Lorenzo Sonego | 58c | 30.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 109 | 68.8%75 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Lorenzo Sonego | 67c | 28.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Lorenzo Sonego | 56c | 22.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 208 | 66.3%138 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonegothis page
- Set 2 Winner: Mannarino vs SonegoSonego won
- Set Handicap: Mannarino (-1.5) vs Sonego (+1.5)Sonego won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.