Lol · resolved market
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34d4660a3bf668b1eea1f6004ed1ab68e087d8fcfe3993a9290620f573f787f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Top Esports, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Top Esports | 1c | 12,018$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Top Esports | 23c | 4,020$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.82 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Top Esports | 0c | 2,995$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 2,974$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.98 | 701 | 62.2%436 W · 265 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Top Esports | 3c | 2,601$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed Top Esports | 4c | 2,300$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 189 | 14.8%28 W · 161 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…20ebbacked Top Esports | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x794e…4247backed Top Esports | 1c | 1,990$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 75 | 0%0 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Top Esports | 22c | 1,728$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.17 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Top Esports | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 1,283$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.56 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…1957backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 1,078$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Top Esports | 17c | 1,020$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.85 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Top Esports | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Top Esports | 18c | 843.93$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.09 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…4c29backed Top Esports | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Top Esports | 1c | 810.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 22.5%43 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 795.83$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…b55dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa93b…90adbacked Top Esports | 19c | 699.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Top Esports | 16c | 597$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Top Esports | 22c | 399.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…aca1backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 387.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Top Esports | 23c | 348.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 336.52$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe329…56acbacked Top Esports | 5c | 301.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Top Esports | 24c | 295.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ee…f4afbacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 235.86$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Top Esports | 22c | 192.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 1,021 | 48%490 W · 531 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Bilibili Gaming | 80c | 156.55$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 149.97$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Top Esports | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…6848backed Top Esports | 17c | 134.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x096f…5c68backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 216 | 44%95 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77aa…5e60backed Top Esports | 22c | 120.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Top Esports | 16c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Top Esports | 15c | 117.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 116.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…323cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 104.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -8.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Top Esports | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…e29fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Top Esports | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Bilibili Gaming | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Top Esports | 19c | 88.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Top Esports | 20c | 88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…e508backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 65.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…857fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Top Esports | 25c | 60.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750e…ddb8backed Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Bilibili Gaming | 78c | 25.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa615…6f16backed Bilibili Gaming | 79c | 22.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 19.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…cc3abacked Bilibili Gaming | 77c | 16.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…be67backed Bilibili Gaming | 76c | 13.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.