Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisville Cardinals vs. Stanford Cardinal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36c2cebc63082bde335b2b2f477d8a66c03564297ed4b6ff1656d2c4e05e195c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stanford Cardinalof Louisville Cardinals, Stanford Cardinal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68ce…d06dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 62c | 7,806$4,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stanford Cardinal | 48c | 5,106$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Louisville Cardinals | 55c | 4,240$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.39 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stanford Cardinal | 35c | 3,614$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.77 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 1c | 3,403$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisville Cardinals | 58c | 3,322$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.64 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Louisville Cardinals | 61c | 3,068$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Stanford Cardinal | 37c | 2,464$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.71 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Stanford Cardinal | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stanford Cardinal | 19c | 2,116$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisville Cardinals | 5c | 2,093$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.32 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 45c | 1,547$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.39 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stanford Cardinal | 42c | 1,132$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.62 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Louisville Cardinals | 79c | 1,083$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.65 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Stanford Cardinal | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Stanford Cardinal | 25c | 929.72$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.72 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Stanford Cardinal | 58c | 914.62$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.98 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…63bfbacked Louisville Cardinals | 77c | 793.03$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.47 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 21c | 644.91$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.48 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Louisville Cardinals | 23c | 618.65$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.86 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Stanford Cardinal | 20c | 547.42$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.04 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Stanford Cardinal | 54c | 517.27$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.29 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 465.58$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.91 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 400$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Stanford Cardinal | 31c | 381.45$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.55 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Stanford Cardinal | 23c | 353$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.81 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Stanford Cardinal | 45c | 335.31$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.32 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Louisville Cardinals | 39c | 328$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.93 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Stanford Cardinal | 39c | 301.72$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.06 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Louisville Cardinals | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stanford Cardinal | 52c | 289.25$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Louisville Cardinals | 59c | 275$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.07 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 46c | 269.04$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.14 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Stanford Cardinal | 60c | 266.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.87 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stanford Cardinal | 17c | 237.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.38 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Stanford Cardinal | 20c | 235.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.59 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 191.85$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 63c | 189$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Stanford Cardinal | 41c | 183.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 47c | 175$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Stanford Cardinal | 59c | 143.17$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Louisville Cardinals | 43c | 112.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.03 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Stanford Cardinal | 45c | 96.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Stanford Cardinal | 30c | 86.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Stanford Cardinal | 17c | 85.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Louisville Cardinals | 32c | 58.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Stanford Cardinal | 25c | 56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…68fcbacked Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 54.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Stanford Cardinal | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…b8eebacked Stanford Cardinal | 56c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Stanford Cardinal | 55c | 40.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Louisville Cardinals | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.