Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36cdc832f43564b3168134275fc099f4a68ec465c4598907ff6f463ee228d319
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8627…5382backed Over | 46c | 3,261$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.5 | 223 | 55.2%123 W · 100 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 55c | 1,793$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.06 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 1,512$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.36 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 1,200$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.04 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 1,045$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.04 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 46c | 945$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.9 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 55c | 554.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.24 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 47c | 450$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 52c | 437.31$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.4 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 52c | 310.79$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 30c | 255.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 55c | 239.91$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 52c | 232.15$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…180ebacked Over | 44c | 215.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0d…4513backed Over | 47c | 206.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 44c | 200.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.01 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0422…ae21backed Over | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…5749backed Over | 54c | 179.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 60c | 159.64$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 43c | 153.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Over | 52c | 153$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 530 | 47.2%250 W · 280 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Under | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 62c | 129.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 39c | 122.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…84aabacked Under | 46c | 113.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 379 | 50.9%193 W · 186 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 44c | 100.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 53c | 95.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under | 53c | 93.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Under | 32c | 86.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Over | 48c | 76.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 214 | 56.5%121 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 68c | 75.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 30c | 73.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…db66backed Over | 48c | 73.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 36c | 67.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…f9e4backed Over | 45c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 42c | 62.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 186 | 39.2%73 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Over | 52c | 57.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 51c | 51.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Under | 55c | 48.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -8.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 60c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 24c | 43.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 47c | 42.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…82a4backed Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked Under | 56c | 41.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 41c | 24.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Over | 43c | 24.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 53c | 21.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 54c | 21.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team WE won
- First Blood in Game 2?JD Gaming won
- Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?Yes won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Team WE won
- Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.