MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x370ab3a3d378199d923917889c186d35c9efffad94397b8270890c9993b70acf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- White Soxof White Sox, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5912…89aebacked White Sox | 46c | 66,929$30,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,141.78 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 54c | 51,702$27,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,919.23 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 19c | 26,619$5,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,048.12 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Pirates | 56c | 17,728$9,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,927.8 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 12c | 16,408$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.06 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked White Sox | 44c | 15,400$6,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,620 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Pirates | 54c | 12,500$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed White Sox | 50c | 8,021$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.99 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.99 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed White Sox | 31c | 5,522$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.5 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Pirates | 62c | 4,842$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.59 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked White Sox | 46c | 3,688$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.65 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 54c | 3,653$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.43 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 60c | 3,513$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.52 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Pirates | 55c | 3,400$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked White Sox | 46c | 2,460$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.15 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox | 26c | 2,417$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.45 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed White Sox | 44c | 2,396$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.8 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Pirates | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x105d…786abacked Pirates | 56c | 1,519$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed White Sox | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked White Sox | 45c | 1,412$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.59 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Pirates | 5c | 1,069$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Pirates | 73c | 1,029$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.17 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Pirates | 56c | 1,002$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Pirates | 54c | 991.45$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.38 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked White Sox | 27c | 974.07$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.07 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed White Sox | 33c | 961.21$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.21 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed White Sox | 38c | 939.1$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.9 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Pirates | 20c | 896.94$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.39 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed White Sox | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Pirates | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed White Sox | 45c | 799.92$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.96 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked White Sox | 8c | 686.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.53 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked White Sox | 37c | 634.2$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.74 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked White Sox | 37c | 604.47$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.53 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked White Sox | 45c | 596.13$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.13 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 3c | 585.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox | 39c | 543.1$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.16 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed White Sox | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Pirates | 55c | 497.68$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.72 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Pirates | 42c | 475$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.17 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed White Sox | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed White Sox | 64c | 440$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Pirates | 54c | 388.29$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.68 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Pirates | 5c | 342.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed White Sox | 44c | 299.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…a137backed White Sox | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed White Sox | 10c | 249.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed White Sox | 45c | 230$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Pirates | 57c | 227.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.59 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed White Sox | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed White Sox | 45c | 221.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.74 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked White Sox | 45c | 221.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.75 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed White Sox | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Pirates | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 53c | 204.68$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox | 44c | 201.23$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.69 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox | 46c | 196$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4052…23d4backed Pirates | 55c | 187$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Pirates | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Pirates | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…6afdbacked White Sox | 35c | 175.32$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Pirates | 59c | 169.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed White Sox | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.44 | 546 | 54.9%300 W · 246 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Pirates | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed White Sox | 44c | 131$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed White Sox | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…b82cbacked White Sox | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed White Sox | 45c | 120.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.45 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed White Sox | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Pirates | 55c | 107.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e538backed White Sox | 32c | 105$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked White Sox | 45c | 103.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed White Sox | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed White Sox | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Pirates | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox | 46c | 99.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Pirates | 56c | 90.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed White Sox | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 45c | 89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked White Sox | 46c | 85.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed White Sox | 45c | 83.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed White Sox | 46c | 73.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Pirates | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed White Sox | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Pirates | 56c | 67.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked White Sox | 47c | 65.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed White Sox | 44c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed White Sox | 45c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed White Sox | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644f…a946backed White Sox | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Pirates | 67c | 53.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked White Sox | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed White Sox | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.