MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37f68a998030b90b20e1207e3019c866eec075689250a20dd288ca17e1d76f00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Blue Jays | 45c | 20,438$9,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,240.9 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners | 55c | 12,088$6,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,648.16 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3261…da8cbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 9,999$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…d0d0backed Mariners | 55c | 9,999$5,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Mariners | 57c | 5,278$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.45 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 3,859$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.31 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mariners | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 48c | 2,435$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 55c | 1,945$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.48 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mariners | 55c | 1,102$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.11 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 14c | 933.63$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.66 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 56c | 899.11$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.69 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Mariners | 41c | 733.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mariners | 55c | 694.94$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.22 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mariners | 56c | 640$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.16 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Mariners | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Mariners | 55c | 463.62$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mariners | 58c | 416$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.28 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 400$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jays | 76c | 341.82$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Mariners | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Blue Jays | 66c | 323.92$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 47c | 280.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.92 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Mariners | 8c | 279.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 273.64$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Mariners | 56c | 230.36$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Mariners | 56c | 224$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Blue Jays | 45c | 200.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Mariners | 54c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…fedbbacked Blue Jays | 69c | 180.39$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 70c | 168.35$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Mariners | 57c | 157.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Mariners | 27c | 147.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Mariners | 56c | 133$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mariners | 56c | 124.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Blue Jays | 51c | 108.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…2034backed Blue Jays | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mariners | 22c | 95.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Mariners | 56c | 91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Blue Jays | 43c | 89.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Mariners | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Blue Jays | 44c | 87.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Blue Jays | 68c | 76.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Blue Jays | 45c | 65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Mariners | 39c | 61.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Blue Jays | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 51.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…d5d7backed Mariners | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 57c | 50.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…4182backed Mariners | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Mariners | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 33c | 47.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Mariners | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Mariners | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Mariners | 37c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…973ebacked Mariners | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…c2c4backed Mariners | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1803…772ebacked Mariners | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 54c | 32.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Mariners | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…ee80backed Blue Jays | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf03…1d5fbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 26.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Mariners | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Blue Jays | 44c | 23.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…5d90backed Mariners | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…718fbacked Mariners | 56c | 21.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Mariners | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Mariners | 57c | 17.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.