Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38d26d644161f63875034ef0ea5ad1db39191d69ac7694ba8f824e1b7323f47e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 55c | 960.89$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.65 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 5c | 733.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 73 | 13.7%10 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 29c | 702.68$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.55 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 2c | 564.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 71c | 545.3$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.06 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 392.29$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.54 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 69c | 303.42$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.3 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 42c | 287$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.81 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…e7edbacked Yes | 30c | 265.48$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.68 | 547 | 35.5%194 W · 353 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 50c | 249.85$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.06 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 11c | 244.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 40c | 202.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.27 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 24c | 201.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 39c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.66 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 74c | 176.72$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.77 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 13c | 163.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 24c | 155.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.58 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 27c | 147.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 74c | 120.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 70c | 118.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 65c | 117.53$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.33 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…da0abacked No | 56c | 107.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e3…3dfdbacked No | 69c | 105.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 148 | 78.4%116 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes | 36c | 103.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 191 | 37.2%71 W · 120 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 67c | 101.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…e0c1backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 70c | 98.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed No | 52c | 96.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 67c | 92.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 213 | 70.9%151 W · 62 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 47c | 88.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 27c | 86.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…a32abacked Yes | 59c | 85.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 216 | 33.8%73 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd30d…fd5dbacked No | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 77.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ac…a769backed Yes | 39c | 72.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…a394backed Yes | 39c | 72.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | -17.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked No | 56c | 72.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…d79fbacked Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 65.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 57.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed No | 43c | 56.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 30c | 55.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 49c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 22c | 52.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 41c | 50.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 69c | 49.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…9bf0backed Yes | 50c | 42.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 59c | 40.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…1a9bbacked No | 50c | 40.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…20a1backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab7…dd3bbacked Yes | 57c | 38.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 33c | 37.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 523 | 22.6%118 W · 405 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5749…73abbacked Yes | 32c | 35.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…9b7fbacked No | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1e…f77bbacked No | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1,034 | 51.3%530 W · 504 L | +69.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…733fbacked Yes | 61c | 29.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 69c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 60c | 28.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 69c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed No | 70c | 22.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 511 | 56.6%289 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5504…665dbacked No | 74c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 69c | 21.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…ea84backed Yes | 52c | 20.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…a722backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…149bbacked No | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 205 | 69.8%143 W · 62 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…1621backed Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 196 | 63.3%124 W · 72 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on July 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.