Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ad4a2e2e45a87dd8863af2547851334a551b7b2521bdd32fcc7780cefee9109
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,111$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.4 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 12c | 1,020$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.27 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…6fd1backed Yes | 26c | 639.85$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 16c | 592.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…400ebacked Yes | 11c | 556.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.55 | 116 | 14.7%17 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 25c | 422.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.94 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 47c | 418.56$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.73 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…c5cebacked No | 35c | 410.68$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.93 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 11c | 393.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked No | 62c | 389.66$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.85 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 54c | 372.56$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.16 | 382 | 43.2%165 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fc…5bd4backed Yes | 43c | 309.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.29 | 386 | 33.4%129 W · 257 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d0…b73abacked Yes | 76c | 309.42$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…9c56backed Yes | 46c | 233.59$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.7 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 15c | 232.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 37c | 228.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.53 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 78c | 219.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.15 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 36c | 211.91$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 8c | 174$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 26c | 164.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…9fb8backed Yes | 55c | 155.31$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 42c | 152$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.66 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 40c | 148.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…f811backed Yes | 44c | 147.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed No | 64c | 143.06$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6053…6af8backed Yes | 68c | 139.39$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 22c | 125.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 32c | 123.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 41c | 122.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 66c | 118.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 42c | 114.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 41c | 114.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 16c | 111$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 38c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 17c | 105.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7183backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 348 | 31%108 W · 240 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 77c | 96.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 42c | 95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 26c | 91.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.74 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…0ad7backed No | 57c | 88.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 22c | 88.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 25c | 85.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed Yes | 71c | 83.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 79c | 83.28$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 31c | 82.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b6c5backed Yes | 25c | 73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 21c | 72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 69c | 70.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 69.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…e2e6backed No | 24c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 44c | 63.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 39c | 63.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 70c | 61.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x582c…3266backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 39c | 57.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 34c | 57.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 33c | 53.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked No | 59c | 53.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 37c | 53.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…b975backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked No | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…0d2bbacked No | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 143 | 72%103 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 27c | 47.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ea…7838backed Yes | 21c | 47.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 27c | 42.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 51c | 41.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked Yes | 77c | 40.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…1f74backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 52c | 39.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…95d3backed No | 75c | 36.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 33c | 36.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…b97ebacked No | 53c | 36.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 280 | 35.4%99 W · 181 L | -69.3wins | -0.25per pick | 60cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 25-0.23 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 54c | 35.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…29ecbacked Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…1b7cbacked Yes | 53c | 32.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ab…d374backed Yes | 36c | 31.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cf…b443backed Yes | 49c | 28.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ee…e90bbacked No | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 53c | 21.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 425 | 55.1%234 W · 191 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 401 | 62.6%251 W · 150 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf695…24fabacked Yes | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.