Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2015455addc0b342c39b0a83d086af8c0fe4ce522403d3ee21eaca503b130d9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3189…562dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,055$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 3c | 649.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked No | 65c | 526.2$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.33 | 815 | 58.5%477 W · 338 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…eb81backed Yes | 22c | 455.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 36c | 414.24$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.54 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…1cbebacked Yes | 35c | 383.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…400ebacked Yes | 5c | 381.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 116 | 14.7%17 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 22c | 266.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 26c | 263.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…6fd1backed Yes | 24c | 262.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…87d4backed Yes | 9c | 260$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…8786backed Yes | 23c | 235.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…c5cebacked Yes | 27c | 187.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 80c | 182.06$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 34c | 179.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 30c | 169.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 167.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 79c | 166.37$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 25c | 154$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 77c | 152.26$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bc…1485backed Yes | 34c | 149.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 24c | 139.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 39c | 127.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked Yes | 33c | 126.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 66c | 122.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 17c | 118.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 69c | 109.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 34c | 108$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…5848backed No | 65c | 105.72$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 241 | 41.1%99 W · 142 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 11c | 100.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 348 | 31%108 W · 240 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…7183backed Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 64c | 99.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 73c | 98.79$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 90.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 43c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 71c | 89.64$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 68c | 85.66$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…9135backed Yes | 26c | 79.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 179 | 40.8%73 W · 106 L | +29.0wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x268f…bbd7backed Yes | 35c | 77.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 74c | 73.29$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 27c | 73.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed No | 65c | 70.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…29ecbacked Yes | 27c | 70.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…902dbacked Yes | 53c | 69.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 70c | 68.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…bbf5backed Yes | 27c | 67.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 29c | 65.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…e2e6backed No | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes | 18c | 62.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 16cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559c…aeedbacked Yes | 35c | 62.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 75c | 60.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…a764backed No | 77c | 60.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…f34cbacked Yes | 27c | 56.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 70c | 53.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 27c | 52.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 66c | 52.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3990…06bebacked Yes | 35c | 50.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…497dbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 349 | 35.2%123 W · 226 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…9270backed Yes | 41c | 48.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed Yes | 39c | 46.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked Yes | 28c | 40.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…9fb8backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…7683backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 71c | 37.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 68c | 37.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 271 | 69%187 W · 84 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 43c | 36.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 59c | 34.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 285 | 46.3%132 W · 153 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…4662backed No | 76c | 33.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…5c14backed Yes | 34c | 32.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed No | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9288backed No | 70c | 28.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 172 | 62.2%107 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 80c | 27.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 75c | 21.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 67c | 21.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…ceb2backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 136 | 37.5%51 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…656dbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6d…9128backed No | 66c | 19.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e4…7718backed No | 70c | 19.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked No | 65c | 18.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 75c | 17.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…5db6backed No | 71c | 17.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 64c | 16.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed No | 70c | 16.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 15?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.