NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c6f3b8b79981f140a4d788920fc16f6281dd25d54a5f57e8b288dddd76f0325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Heat, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Heat | 51c | 11,886$6,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,099.38 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Heat | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Suns | 60c | 4,840$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 39c | 3,069$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.79 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Suns | 53c | 2,518$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.76 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6be7backed Suns | 60c | 2,474$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…8027backed Suns | 63c | 1,826$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.31 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Heat | 33c | 1,698$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.95 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Suns | 52c | 1,622$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.04 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a2…0946backed Suns | 43c | 1,507$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Heat | 17c | 1,490$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.72 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…16a6backed Heat | 59c | 1,197$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Heat | 42c | 1,179$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 36c | 1,100$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 7c | 1,029$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Suns | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.04 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…ccb1backed Suns | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Suns | 66c | 999.94$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.98 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Heat | 45c | 934.72$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.11 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Heat | 35c | 821.78$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.62 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Suns | 20c | 811.46$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.64 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Heat | 33c | 803.72$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.73 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…8dcabacked Heat | 73c | 770.44$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.38 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…a421backed Suns | 55c | 631.18$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.77 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Suns | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd31…f196backed Heat | 41c | 565.86$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.39 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Heat | 8c | 553.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Heat | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…1da8backed Heat | 55c | 439.72$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Suns | 32c | 390.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.63 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Suns | 42c | 381.29$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.29 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Suns | 68c | 247.06$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e7…c642backed Suns | 52c | 231.66$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Suns | 62c | 230$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…2797backed Heat | 34c | 225.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Suns | 51c | 223.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…dfa1backed Heat | 42c | 220.17$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b37…1dc5backed Suns | 57c | 207.21$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Suns | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Suns | 62c | 179.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Heat | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f7…4a94backed Suns | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…4a77backed Suns | 61c | 166.39$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…edc1backed Suns | 68c | 145.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…58e6backed Suns | 79c | 126.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Suns | 61c | 123.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…efedbacked Suns | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…8510backed Heat | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Suns | 67c | 106.52$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Suns | 70c | 105.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Suns | 41c | 104.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Suns | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Heat | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Suns | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Suns | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Suns | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Suns | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…3013backed Suns | 79c | 99.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…25f6backed Suns | 51c | 97.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Heat | 30c | 95.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…8d23backed Heat | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Suns | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Suns | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Suns | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…7b67backed Suns | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…c994backed Suns | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Suns | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…b7bcbacked Heat | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Heat | 32c | 59.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…b023backed Heat | 39c | 52.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…d866backed Heat | 73c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Suns | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 395 | 48.4%191 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Heat | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…6632backed Suns | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…4939backed Suns | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb3…9542backed Suns | 68c | 43.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…663ebacked Heat | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…e5a0backed Heat | 49c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…175ebacked Heat | 45c | 41.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…de83backed Suns | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Suns | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Suns | 62c | 39.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…b5a0backed Suns | 76c | 38.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…ff5dbacked Suns | 57c | 35.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a97…0fc7backed Suns | 65c | 35.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +52%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…d874backed Suns | 71c | 35.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Suns | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Suns | 70c | 34.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Heat | 32c | 34.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Heat | 32c | 33.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…db81backed Suns | 61c | 32.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Suns | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Suns | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Heat | 42c | 30.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…c119backed Suns | 54c | 29.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…40babacked Suns | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…10d5backed Heat | 55c | 28.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…2777backed Heat | 45c | 27.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Suns | 47c | 25.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.