CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs sleepers (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3caee33bd2e4c957e2d56902cf614c2fb9d06ec82f47fcaf2728e4afd6051325
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- aimclubof aimclub, sleepers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc75d…0717backed sleepers | 35c | 687.3$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked sleepers | 35c | 522.39$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.99 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed aimclub | 43c | 423.27$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.08 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed sleepers | 56c | 389.4$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.23 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed sleepers | 25c | 353$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked aimclub | 46c | 329.27$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…b55fbacked aimclub | 21c | 243.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.66 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed aimclub | 65c | 242.63$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed sleepers | 57c | 235.04$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed sleepers | 69c | 229.05$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked aimclub | 67c | 215.18$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.53 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…0689backed sleepers | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed aimclub | 61c | 145.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked aimclub | 66c | 144.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked sleepers | 34c | 134.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed aimclub | 57c | 131.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked sleepers | 50c | 128.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked aimclub | 54c | 128.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked sleepers | 27c | 96.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb342…64b2backed sleepers | 34c | 88.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked aimclub | 56c | 85.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked aimclub | 49c | 82.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed aimclub | 65c | 73.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked aimclub | 57c | 73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed sleepers | 35c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed sleepers | 37c | 53.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed aimclub | 59c | 46.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked aimclub | 33c | 43.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed aimclub | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed sleepers | 57c | 38.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked sleepers | 35c | 32.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed aimclub | 60c | 32.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…cf06backed aimclub | 51c | 31.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked aimclub | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked sleepers | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed sleepers | 47c | 29.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked sleepers | 51c | 26.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed sleepers | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked aimclub | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed aimclub | 54c | 20.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked aimclub | 73c | 19.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked aimclub | 65c | 15.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked aimclub | 68c | 15.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed aimclub | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: aimclub vs sleepers (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #7 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: aimclub vs sleepers - Map 1 Winneraimclub won
- Counter-Strike: aimclub vs sleepers - Map 2 Winnersleepers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.