Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Liam Broady
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d831b692af96b831e9512cd4f41ea8010f9dba3b4becc95995222fb597d07e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zachary Svajdaof Zachary Svajda, Liam Broady
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Liam Broady | 40c | 3,958$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.42 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Zachary Svajda | 53c | 2,900$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Zachary Svajda | 79c | 1,158$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.76 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Liam Broady | 21c | 846$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Zachary Svajda | 68c | 675.46$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.47 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…df9ebacked Liam Broady | 19c | 601.08$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.09 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Zachary Svajda | 73c | 554.69$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.12 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Liam Broady | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Liam Broady | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…a20dbacked Zachary Svajda | 57c | 315.79$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.79 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -9.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Liam Broady | 20c | 299.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Liam Broady | 44c | 275.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…5be4backed Zachary Svajda | 54c | 242.25$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Zachary Svajda | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…2488backed Liam Broady | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Liam Broady | 10c | 204.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Liam Broady | 26c | 196.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Zachary Svajda | 76c | 186$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Liam Broady | 11c | 143.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Zachary Svajda | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Liam Broady | 30c | 136.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6712…a95bbacked Liam Broady | 25c | 136$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Liam Broady | 40c | 131.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Zachary Svajda | 77c | 128.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Zachary Svajda | 70c | 127.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Liam Broady | 44c | 127.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Liam Broady | 23c | 124.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Liam Broady | 22c | 121.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Zachary Svajda | 72c | 119.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Zachary Svajda | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Liam Broady | 41c | 96.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dee…5d00backed Zachary Svajda | 76c | 82.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Zachary Svajda | 77c | 78.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Liam Broady | 26c | 74.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Liam Broady | 24c | 55.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Zachary Svajda | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Liam Broady | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Liam Broady | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Liam Broady | 47c | 40.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Liam Broady | 39c | 38.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Zachary Svajda | 76c | 37.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…fba8backed Zachary Svajda | 78c | 33.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 380 | 74.5%283 W · 97 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Zachary Svajda | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Liam Broady | 45c | 28.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…63bfbacked Zachary Svajda | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Zachary Svajda | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…893ebacked Zachary Svajda | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zachary Svajda | 59c | 20.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Zachary Svajda | 55c | 19.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…67e6backed Zachary Svajda | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 372 | 55.6%207 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Zachary Svajda | 71c | 15.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.