Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d8bb500630a23bc31c1faecef3da66b5d00da8d4e9b47fe1dddc6403568fb60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2f7…9939backed Yes | 14c | 683.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.72 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +53%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…7926backed Yes | 11c | 597.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.32 | 423 | 15.4%65 W · 358 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 16c | 595.19$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.46 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 9c | 512.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 28c | 491.21$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 57c | 486.8$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 459.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.54 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 80c | 441.7$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed No | 78c | 380.95$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.79 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 16c | 329.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.71 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 13c | 289.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.44 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 13c | 247.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 599 | 23.5%141 W · 458 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…f6bfbacked Yes | 42c | 240.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +27.3wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 80+0.27 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes | 16c | 237.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 242 | 16.9%41 W · 201 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…1d37backed Yes | 18c | 232.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.1 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 78c | 221.08$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.73 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Yes | 77c | 202.97$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6536…0cf6backed Yes | 31c | 199.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 14c | 199.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.16 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed No | 80c | 190$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebe…2c1dbacked No | 76c | 187.05$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 56c | 184.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 46c | 178.42$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 158.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…2496backed Yes | 24c | 153.32$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.43 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 19c | 144.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327d…977bbacked Yes | 32c | 143.41$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.07 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 36c | 141.42$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 14c | 120.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 12c | 113.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 10c | 108.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 74c | 104.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 73c | 101.78$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed Yes | 24c | 99.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.55 | 656 | 27.4%180 W · 476 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 97.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 66c | 96.28$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed Yes | 38c | 84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…48babacked Yes | 13c | 83.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Yes | 60c | 83.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 29c | 81.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 17c | 79.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked No | 79c | 73.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 209 | 28.7%60 W · 149 L | -45.3wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 27c | 71.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…bf33backed Yes | 24c | 69.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290c…ab10backed Yes | 29c | 69.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…eaa8backed No | 76c | 64.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 69 | 73.9%51 W · 18 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed No | 76c | 58.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d56…92e6backed Yes | 58c | 57.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc907…020fbacked Yes | 57c | 57.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 54.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 20c | 51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f59…9e40backed Yes | 33c | 48.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 67c | 48.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3f06…0e0fbacked Yes | 36c | 47.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fa…4f2dbacked Yes | 22c | 46.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.95 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…d987backed Yes | 27c | 44.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 43c | 42.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…25febacked Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 27c | 39.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…7a4ebacked No | 70c | 39.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 36c | 39.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…9f2abacked Yes | 30c | 36.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 30c | 35.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8d…84afbacked Yes | 59c | 34.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4639…78b8backed No | 79c | 33.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Yes | 48c | 31.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…d5e9backed No | 80c | 30.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed No | 35c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 35c | 29.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd8…5d8bbacked Yes | 67c | 28.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 41c | 28.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…b096backed No | 51c | 28.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…92e4backed Yes | 74c | 26.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 277 | 44%122 W · 155 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…fc4abacked No | 72c | 25.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 76c | 25.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 73c | 22.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…c866backed No | 73c | 21.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x585a…26ecbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf300…4329backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 59c | 18.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…041fbacked No | 71c | 17.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 15.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…8042backed No | 76c | 14.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on April 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.