TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Guardians

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Guardiansof Rockies, Guardians
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,460
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,460 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3745…cf3bbacked Rockies36c22,486$8,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,095.1338047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Guardians64c20,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.9953150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockies6c16,264$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.3741643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d5…88c7backed Guardians63c8,612$5,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.532356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rockies0c7,809$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.884754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rockies16c7,191$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.6254345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e2…7b24backed Guardians66c6,060$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.42147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies34c6,028$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.471,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Rockies37c5,554$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05541747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Rockies33c4,853$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.5611555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Guardians63c4,331$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.636845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Rockies1c3,919$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2916934.9%59 W · 110 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Guardians67c3,535$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.557548%36 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Rockies37c3,500$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29538249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians63c3,035$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.162,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Guardians64c2,253$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.4713247.7%63 W · 69 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rockies37c2,209$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.921,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies15c2,091$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.049,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5e9…b124backed Guardians67c2,006$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Guardians66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.9771751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e6f…04c1backed Rockies33c1,600$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-51.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa44f…5c9bbacked Rockies33c1,600$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rockies36c1,533$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.2170946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Guardians74c1,438$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.9732754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies37c1,222$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.141,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rockies34c1,200$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4081,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71a7…e738backed Guardians67c1,194$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockies37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Rockies36c952.38$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.8626453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rockies20c935.05$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2396133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Guardians73c785.5$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.4227458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe259…b890backed Guardians78c699$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8416162.1%100 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6254…d8b7backed Guardians74c690$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9412868%87 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a8…8466backed Guardians67c605.98$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.754761.7%29 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe25e…0aa5backed Rockies37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22214549.7%72 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70de…b98ebacked Rockies3c540.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.782412.5%3 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-65%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockies25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…450bbacked Guardians67c499.93$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.981330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies32c499.82$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9456451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Guardians79c487.33$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.341,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked Guardians63c478.15$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.926553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Guardians79c427.27$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9111963.9%76 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Guardians64c407.73$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.6114654.8%80 W · 66 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies32c369.5$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2450843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rockies29c345.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9338444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cd3…1174backed Guardians69c316$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5319052.6%100 W · 90 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.52,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8665…85ecbacked Guardians64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Rockies24c310$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.821246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Rockies33c305.88$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10112558.4%73 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237b…be16backed Guardians64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9612…9e99backed Guardians67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rockies34c294.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Guardians65c275.04$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.261,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e9…4a51backed Rockies37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Rockies33c257.55$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.995945.8%27 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Rockies34c235.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8051245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Guardians66c230.53$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3843247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f0…a193backed Guardians68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.594055%22 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Rockies37c216.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8031244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Guardians65c200$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715844.8%26 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc09…9d12backed Guardians64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728253.7%44 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians67c194.03$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.031,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Guardians66c185$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.913843.5%60 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Guardians74c182.81$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5334164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Guardians69c165.55$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3214565.5%95 W · 50 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Guardians69c165.29$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2425364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12cd…f529backed Guardians64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Guardians65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8556351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Guardians68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0614753.7%79 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rockies34c141.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2685047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Rockies35c125.97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.092,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe578…696cbacked Rockies33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cb…a5a8backed Guardians67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df3…f15abacked Rockies17c117.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207940.5%32 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians73c113.51$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.384,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rockies37c110$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.72,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies11c105.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.036,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc352…51e3backed Guardians63c102.81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.043762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Guardians64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3692754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c44…6ecebacked Rockies10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd7…0c58backed Guardians67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+42.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9164…3087backed Guardians67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a1…5abebacked Rockies34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cd…7664backed Rockies34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccae…f943backed Guardians67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b9d…ff22backed Guardians67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x790b…3a0bbacked Rockies34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b4…54a4backed Rockies33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0940…c9a6backed Rockies33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74b8…2032backed Rockies34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a82…97efbacked Rockies34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2724…a0bfbacked Guardians67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Guardians67c99.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3317954.7%98 W · 81 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fb2…01b4backed Rockies33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea65…4042backed Guardians67c88.39$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.573138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd32…c9c1backed Rockies34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Guardians64c88$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.687164.8%46 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.