MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4014e3570663e0e9eba453a9f272716f2458c753c0048db8640af7d5d3ba5324
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked New York Yankees | 66c | 91,154$60,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,125.76 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 25,808$12,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,645.84 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd1…e0bfbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 22,069$11,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,022.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 21,467$9,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,892.51 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 20,390$10,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,195 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 19,750$9,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,373.19 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed New York Yankees | 48c | 15,828$7,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,296.43 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed New York Yankees | 57c | 13,558$7,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,881.24 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 9,412$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650.32 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tampa Bay Rays | 26c | 8,352$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.57 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 6,595$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.65 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…dcafbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 5,859$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.47 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 2,601$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.64 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 2,388$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.88 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 2,055$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.28 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed New York Yankees | 55c | 2,000$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.3 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,571$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,454$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.98 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 1,325$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.84 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 1,215$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.16 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 1,204$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 7c | 1,071$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed New York Yankees | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 942.94$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.98 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 648.78$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.63 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 27c | 549.16$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed New York Yankees | 78c | 320$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 299.64$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.82 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 15c | 210$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed New York Yankees | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed New York Yankees | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 199.58$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 185$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7507…71e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 153.65$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c44…742bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 147.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…149abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 146$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cf…f1c6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 146$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 145.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 138$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655f…80a1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 132$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 130.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…2c06backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 120.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed New York Yankees | 50c | 112.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 112$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 101$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…6f1bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 84.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd006…d42ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4b…9673backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 67.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…3e29backed Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab57…d24cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…1d43backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…b4febacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…8481backed New York Yankees | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed New York Yankees | 60c | 58.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed New York Yankees | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 49.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 46.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 41.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed New York Yankees | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 35.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 21.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.