Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4033530db0e982f7fe404cd486d6d13676c732d90dbe3fc36a52eed956b8e6e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3a7…2657backed Yes | 7c | 742.15$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 183 | 28.4%52 W · 131 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed No | 15c | 508.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.31 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 66c | 491.69$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 74c | 430.58$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.9 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…cafebacked Yes | 33c | 312$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b02…abdfbacked No | 8c | 309.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.82 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc1…ee2fbacked No | 4c | 303.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.9 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +12.2wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…9135backed No | 7c | 303.23$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.23 | 179 | 40.8%73 W · 106 L | +29.0wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 13c | 292.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.11 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 17c | 279.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…0020backed Yes | 41c | 263.87$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 389 | 30.3%118 W · 271 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 25c | 255.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…deeabacked No | 59c | 254.65$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.83 | 1,072 | 36.6%392 W · 680 L | +25.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 13c | 247.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.64 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 38c | 238.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.09 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…6171backed Yes | 67c | 223.82$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.08 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 20c | 209.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 34c | 206.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.22 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 7c | 193.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.84 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…d934backed No | 31c | 151.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.59 | 644 | 60.6%390 W · 254 L | +92.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd489…7f08backed Yes | 69c | 144.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 66.3%63 W · 32 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 37c | 141$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5d…6be6backed No | 80c | 123$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 10c | 118.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3084backed Yes | 73c | 116.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 152 | 70.4%107 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 63c | 114.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8b…eb78backed No | 71c | 106.07$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02e2…701abacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 24c | 98.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa210…a235backed No | 13c | 97.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…149bbacked No | 61c | 87.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 205 | 69.8%143 W · 62 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…4da6backed Yes | 31c | 84.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 211 | 32.2%68 W · 143 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…454ebacked No | 15c | 83.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 255 | 41.2%105 W · 150 L | +22.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…cfaabacked Yes | 70c | 80.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 47c | 80.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 20c | 76.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 46c | 75.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 656 | 25.8%169 W · 487 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5c…ce66backed No | 66c | 75.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6716…6450backed No | 78c | 73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 29c | 69.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 27c | 68.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e20…dddcbacked Yes | 39c | 66.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 285 | 46.3%132 W · 153 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…bf9bbacked No | 77c | 65.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…a782backed Yes | 38c | 63.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 515 | 37.5%193 W · 322 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 26c | 59.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 20c | 57.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…ce5abacked Yes | 35c | 56.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 35c | 56.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 39c | 55.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cf…b443backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…2c94backed Yes | 20c | 52.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 149 | 19.5%29 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 50.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 38c | 45.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 36c | 43.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…59f2backed Yes | 69c | 42.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 73cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 26c | 41.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked Yes | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 37c | 40.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…3476backed No | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +173.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 182 | 40.1%73 W · 109 L | -16.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…8d4fbacked No | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 95 | 73.7%70 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 58c | 33.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…bf4abacked Yes | 77c | 32.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…2721backed No | 73c | 31.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 38c | 31.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 38c | 30.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 64c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23b…b787backed Yes | 79c | 29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed No | 69c | 28.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b4…8706backed Yes | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdb…b241backed Yes | 63c | 25.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 24.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 65c | 20.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…34fdbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…7dc5backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed No | 60c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 58c | 18.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x8785…fe21backed No | 73c | 17.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 14?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.