Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41a5065f72c1041aa288d2b36dc462a00ae0a7a87d2d7af58b0ec8e22f3fe5ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 26c | 543.68$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.81 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked No | 6c | 442.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…9d77backed No | 35c | 419.58$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.58 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb4…4e22backed Yes | 51c | 394.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.18 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 340.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 48c | 268.87$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 38c | 248.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.2 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 56c | 228.48$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.32 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 39c | 208.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.11 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 37c | 208.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 70c | 202.04$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.39 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 47c | 190$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 34c | 188$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 51c | 185.75$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 48c | 181.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 39c | 174.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 47c | 171.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 60c | 169.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 40c | 167.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.04 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 54c | 166.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed Yes | 55c | 166.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 65c | 154.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…1a22backed Yes | 67c | 148.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 97 | 83.5%81 W · 16 L | +26.5wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 14c | 144.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc53a…625fbacked No | 23c | 135.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 47c | 130.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 14c | 123.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 47c | 113.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 78c | 113.46$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 25c | 108.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 48c | 104.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…0b84backed Yes | 35c | 103.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 47c | 103.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked Yes | 49c | 99.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 53c | 97.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 61c | 97.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 62c | 96.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 41c | 94.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 31c | 94.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8850…d68dbacked No | 52c | 94.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ad…c0f9backed Yes | 54c | 93.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 39c | 82.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 36c | 79.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddd…a1d6backed Yes | 50c | 78.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 53c | 78.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 50c | 77.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 47c | 74.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.34 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 61c | 73.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 29c | 71.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 45c | 69.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 73c | 67.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 36c | 67.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 55c | 62.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…a4d5backed No | 57c | 52.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 73c | 51.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 63c | 49.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 48c | 49.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 48c | 48.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbff…06d2backed Yes | 53c | 47.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 51c | 45.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…4e79backed Yes | 46c | 43.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 35c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 52c | 40.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14da…0af1backed Yes | 58c | 40.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…5f31backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 289 | 46.4%134 W · 155 L | -14.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…3f4bbacked Yes | 56c | 39.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked No | 31c | 39.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…8246backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 54c | 36.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 54c | 34.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8202backed Yes | 49c | 34.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2e…e75ebacked Yes | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 58c | 32.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…931cbacked Yes | 49c | 31.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…f003backed Yes | 46c | 30.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 306 | 52.6%161 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 62c | 30.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5a…bc49backed Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…f375backed Yes | 51c | 29.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.