Tennis · resolved market
Jiujiang: Sho Shimabukuro vs Keegan Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4391342dfd20d043806339a7b3c2caee4d9d27898b2d29f1e96382039f9ff4f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keegan Smithof Sho Shimabukuro, Keegan Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d2…70a3backed Sho Shimabukuro | 1c | 3,142$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sho Shimabukuro | 26c | 2,902$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.59 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Keegan Smith | 49c | 2,807$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.57 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Keegan Smith | 54c | 2,479$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.3 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Keegan Smith | 23c | 2,030$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.62 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sho Shimabukuro | 20c | 2,021$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.18 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Keegan Smith | 26c | 1,505$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.92 | 242 | 28.5%69 W · 173 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sho Shimabukuro | 76c | 1,368$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.35 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Keegan Smith | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.35 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Sho Shimabukuro | 74c | 999.93$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.95 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…1d03backed Keegan Smith | 78c | 801.29$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.99 | 105 | 71.4%75 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sho Shimabukuro | 66c | 799.84$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.58 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…5e62backed Keegan Smith | 13c | 787.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.57 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…368abacked Sho Shimabukuro | 70c | 714.26$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 42c | 656$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.21 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Keegan Smith | 30c | 598.07$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.65 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Sho Shimabukuro | 74c | 507.85$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.81 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Keegan Smith | 18c | 491$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.79 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 46c | 432.34$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.18 | 589 | 31.1%183 W · 406 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Keegan Smith | 46c | 424.64$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.94 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 50c | 386.82$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 79c | 379.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sho Shimabukuro | 4c | 358.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keegan Smith | 22c | 344.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Keegan Smith | 20c | 340.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.02 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 70c | 283.31$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.91 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Keegan Smith | 36c | 277.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Sho Shimabukuro | 56c | 272.86$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.85 | 100 | 70%70 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbb…c0fdbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 68c | 266.15$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.43 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…69a5backed Sho Shimabukuro | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 215 | 55.8%120 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Keegan Smith | 41c | 253.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.45 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Keegan Smith | 32c | 245.48$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.34 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 75c | 233$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.75 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 47c | 213.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Keegan Smith | 20c | 212.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 36c | 208.42$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Keegan Smith | 21c | 182.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.48 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Sho Shimabukuro | 75c | 180.63$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Sho Shimabukuro | 79c | 179.13$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…0a76backed Sho Shimabukuro | 74c | 175.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Keegan Smith | 24c | 172.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Keegan Smith | 23c | 172.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.46 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 36c | 166.7$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Keegan Smith | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…1f49backed Sho Shimabukuro | 75c | 166.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 146 | 74%108 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Keegan Smith | 13c | 159.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Sho Shimabukuro | 74c | 149.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Sho Shimabukuro | 70c | 134.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 75c | 134.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…1a45backed Sho Shimabukuro | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 64c | 122.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Keegan Smith | 22c | 112$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Sho Shimabukuro | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Keegan Smith | 22c | 108$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…ed4ebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Keegan Smith | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Keegan Smith | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Keegan Smith | 22c | 99.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Keegan Smith | 42c | 95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 460 | 40%184 W · 276 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 49c | 92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 39c | 88.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Keegan Smith | 30c | 85.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…4349backed Keegan Smith | 60c | 83.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Keegan Smith | 27c | 82.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Keegan Smith | 16c | 82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Keegan Smith | 24c | 80.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Sho Shimabukuro | 79c | 80$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sho Shimabukuro | 77c | 75.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 75c | 74.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sho Shimabukuro | 50c | 74.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 31c | 73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Sho Shimabukuro | 75c | 71.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Sho Shimabukuro | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Sho Shimabukuro | 74c | 65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Sho Shimabukuro | 62c | 63.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Keegan Smith | 32c | 61.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -14.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 39c | 61.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked Keegan Smith | 21c | 59.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c78…fb0fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 40c | 59.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Sho Shimabukuro | 78c | 56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Keegan Smith | 26c | 52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Keegan Smith | 24c | 50.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Keegan Smith | 21c | 50.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Sho Shimabukuro | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Keegan Smith | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 882 | 73.5%648 W · 234 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sho Shimabukuro | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Sho Shimabukuro | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sho Shimabukuro | 45c | 49.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 49c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1d…0fdebacked Keegan Smith | 24c | 46.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Sho Shimabukuro | 77c | 46.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Sho Shimabukuro | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 185 | 59.5%110 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 35c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 35c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Sho Shimabukuro | 75c | 43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Keegan Smith | 51c | 41.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Sho Shimabukuro | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jiujiang: Sho Shimabukuro vs Keegan Smiththis page
- Shimabukuro vs. Smith: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Sho Shimabukuro vs. Keegan Smith: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.