Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Team Liquid vs. Cloud9
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43f419b3b4bef1a67499b0f99aed9d6d963b60db96d58b00dc03f280203e8c6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of Team Liquid, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Team Liquid | 27c | 41,420$11,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,388.36 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cloud9 | 73c | 18,315$13,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,013.63 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Cloud9 | 75c | 16,829$12,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,241.33 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Liquid | 26c | 16,665$4,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,366.23 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Cloud9 | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cloud9 | 72c | 7,858$5,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Team Liquid | 25c | 3,076$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Cloud9 | 66c | 3,000$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed Cloud9 | 75c | 2,985$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.75 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Cloud9 | 75c | 2,933$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Cloud9 | 74c | 2,256$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.71 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed Cloud9 | 71c | 2,113$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.68 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Cloud9 | 74c | 1,689$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.19 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Cloud9 | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Liquid | 25c | 1,179$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.65 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Cloud9 | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,184 | 44.4%526 W · 658 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed Cloud9 | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 87 | 69%60 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Team Liquid | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Cloud9 | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked Team Liquid | 17c | 987$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Cloud9 | 73c | 900$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Team Liquid | 27c | 748$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.94 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Cloud9 | 79c | 595.78$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.53 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Cloud9 | 76c | 469.58$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed Cloud9 | 72c | 468.23$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Cloud9 | 71c | 450.7$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.7 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Cloud9 | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cloud9 | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…3ea6backed Team Liquid | 27c | 365.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Team Liquid | 28c | 356.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,246 | 52.6%656 W · 590 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Cloud9 | 78c | 282.03$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Cloud9 | 75c | 274.8$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 72cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Cloud9 | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…bd6fbacked Team Liquid | 32c | 242.62$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Liquid | 16c | 235$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Team Liquid | 31c | 203.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cloud9 | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cloud9 | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cloud9 | 78c | 189.57$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Cloud9 | 71c | 169.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Cloud9 | 71c | 162.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Team Liquid | 27c | 146$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Cloud9 | 73c | 142.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…4474backed Cloud9 | 71c | 123.48$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Team Liquid | 12c | 122$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Team Liquid | 17c | 115.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Liquid | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Liquid | 15c | 73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…0a71backed Cloud9 | 72c | 70.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4bc4backed Team Liquid | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…f579backed Cloud9 | 74c | 62.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cloud9 | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Team Liquid | 46c | 43.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b26…6900backed Team Liquid | 30c | 34.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Cloud9 | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…3d98backed Cloud9 | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…c992backed Cloud9 | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Cloud9 | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Cloud9 | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab5…2c4dbacked Cloud9 | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.