Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x489fcb8dd6ba1b1b0d97de1194ea649287b823385a7de4d44ce48089c4e2f0cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 35c | 577.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Yes | 41c | 498.85$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 21c | 409.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 67c | 181$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 31c | 168.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 57c | 162$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 65c | 155.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 152.85$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 42c | 149.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 148$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 55c | 141.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 139.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 40c | 135.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 60c | 132$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 59c | 130.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0ec3backed Yes | 27c | 123.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 132 | 66.7%88 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 21c | 115.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 67c | 111.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 44c | 97.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…ab49backed Yes | 36c | 81.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 63c | 80.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed No | 64c | 78.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 58c | 78.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 73c | 77.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 59c | 75.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 60c | 73.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 71.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 44c | 70.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 59c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 59c | 57.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a13…72cebacked Yes | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 34c | 55.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 60c | 55.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed No | 78c | 51.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed Yes | 33c | 50.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…0ed9backed Yes | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…9909backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -79%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked Yes | 43c | 45.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed Yes | 43c | 45.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd0…b551backed No | 51c | 45.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…9754backed No | 76c | 44.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 136 | 30.1%41 W · 95 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 40c | 43.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b19…bae5backed No | 60c | 42.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 48c | 40.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 58c | 40.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…afc6backed Yes | 40c | 39.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x262f…2198backed No | 66c | 37.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked Yes | 42c | 37.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked No | 61c | 36.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked Yes | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 58c | 34.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…8834backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 37c | 32.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 44c | 31.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed No | 59c | 31.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 56c | 30.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…5d00backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 59c | 28.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed4c…03cabacked No | 67c | 28.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 67c | 27.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 40c | 27.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee88…49a4backed No | 56c | 27.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…8c7ebacked Yes | 48c | 27.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadba…35f2backed Yes | 50c | 26.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b52abacked No | 68c | 25.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 42c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 45c | 24.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 51c | 23.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed Yes | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 161 | 29.2%47 W · 114 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…3375backed No | 74c | 22.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed No | 59c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 59c | 22.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…8c58backed No | 57c | 22.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 60c | 21.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 195 | 65.6%128 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…dcc6backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 23?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.