Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x413e0ffdb1f607a2340f0d7ec4718a3f4700c3b5715a96a14c3bdc9d94fc7337
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 43c | 621.52$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.53 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 20c | 416.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 10c | 368.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…ab49backed Yes | 28c | 358.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.69 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 5c | 240.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 59c | 208.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.38 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 43c | 168$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 26c | 162.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…fa6cbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +227.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 160$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 65c | 159.95$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 19c | 159.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfeda…b697backed Yes | 77c | 157$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 32c | 141.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 60c | 136.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 56c | 128.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 34c | 124.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 33c | 122.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 112$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 111.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.35 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 15c | 107.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 78c | 104.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 67c | 103.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…8c7ebacked Yes | 33c | 100.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…6062backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 33c | 99.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 26c | 91.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 19c | 91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 15c | 90.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 52c | 84.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 78.85$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…9847backed No | 38c | 78.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 33c | 77.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 33c | 77.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed No | 17c | 77.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 34c | 70.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 28c | 64.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 68c | 64.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…aa8dbacked Yes | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 33c | 61.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 64c | 57.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 23c | 56.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 46c | 50.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 60c | 50.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…303ebacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…132abacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 63c | 49.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 27c | 44.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…fe40backed No | 42c | 43.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 69c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…b7bdbacked No | 66c | 41.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 32c | 39.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 72c | 38.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…8622backed No | 68c | 37.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 177 | 66.7%118 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked Yes | 35c | 36.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +104%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x407a…52b0backed No | 66c | 34.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…f88bbacked Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 69c | 29.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…de16backed Yes | 35c | 28.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.32per pick | 49cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 69c | 28.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 65c | 28.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 44c | 27.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 75c | 26.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 66c | 25.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 67c | 24.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe775…01d2backed Yes | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 74c | 22.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 72c | 21.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 71c | 20.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…154ebacked Yes | 77c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…e8bfbacked Yes | 68c | 17.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 72c | 16.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 68c | 15.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.