NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48ddce4b23b5ef8177ffd3864d0140fa0d63fc1ea4a38337264742f8a61d0f2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Clippers | 78c | 7,203$5,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,650.8 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Clippers | 79c | 5,035$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.7 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Clippers | 66c | 3,298$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.12 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 2,757$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.94 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 1,959$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.65 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Clippers | 70c | 1,949$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.67 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 1,390$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.11 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…28acbacked Trail Blazers | 25c | 1,388$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 1,332$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.66 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 1,314$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.79 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 1,286$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.1 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 1,233$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.33 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…dab5backed Clippers | 71c | 1,208$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 1,047$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.3 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…7a61backed Clippers | 72c | 1,010$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 930$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 877.81$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.47 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Clippers | 55c | 769.67$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.32 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Clippers | 64c | 711.44$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.75 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 540$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 530$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.03 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…ec40backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 500$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Clippers | 74c | 499.08$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.12 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Clippers | 73c | 399.93$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.95 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Clippers | 56c | 318.31$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.25 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed Clippers | 74c | 312.24$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.06 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Clippers | 74c | 302.73$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.02 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Clippers | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 250$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.5 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…c212backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 250$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.02 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f32…8463backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 246.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.04 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Clippers | 79c | 243.49$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.38 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…c22ebacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189f…6aaabacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 225.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…102bbacked Clippers | 80c | 222.83$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…1c70backed Clippers | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 159.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Clippers | 75c | 133.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fb…e089backed Clippers | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…ef9fbacked Trail Blazers | 35c | 129.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…0416backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 126.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Clippers | 76c | 121.61$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Clippers | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…b5a0backed Clippers | 77c | 106.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Clippers | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4e95backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…995dbacked Clippers | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…edfbbacked Trail Blazers | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…7a5bbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 89.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Clippers | 60c | 83.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…74cfbacked Trail Blazers | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +237.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x437e…2144backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 81.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Clippers | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…8788backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 61.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Clippers | 75c | 59.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Clippers | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ec7abacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 37cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd59f…33e8backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb1…f7eebacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…6dfdbacked Trail Blazers | 34c | 44.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…1becbacked Clippers | 75c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Clippers | 74c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…d874backed Clippers | 74c | 34.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Clippers | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 69.1%96 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…687abacked Clippers | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…9b5fbacked Clippers | 72c | 18.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed Clippers | 75c | 18.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 156 | 40.4%63 W · 93 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe96c…ac16backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 16.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.