MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a67db3a2c20672165bfc9779b5a643d4f743555be7119d61ee01a05daffd1f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kia Tigersof Doosan Bears, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 45c | 1,189$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.89 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 744.56$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.7 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Kia Tigers | 45c | 562.04$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.39 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 456$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.36 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 68c | 333.03$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.83 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Kia Tigers | 48c | 293.39$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.39 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Doosan Bears | 24c | 279.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 234$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Kia Tigers | 49c | 206.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kia Tigers | 76c | 188.67$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Kia Tigers | 39c | 180.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.72 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Kia Tigers | 31c | 161.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0967…164cbacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 156.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Kia Tigers | 33c | 153.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 112.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Doosan Bears | 10c | 106.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Kia Tigers | 49c | 102.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kia Tigers | 44c | 99.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Doosan Bears | 20c | 93.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Kia Tigers | 49c | 87.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 122 | 65.6%80 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Kia Tigers | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kia Tigers | 59c | 73.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 69.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Doosan Bears | 77c | 64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 76c | 63.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Doosan Bears | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 53.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…a7c3backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 52.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Doosan Bears | 51c | 48.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 44.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Kia Tigers | 75c | 40.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 39.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 38.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 35.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f9…1f62backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Kia Tigers | 43c | 34.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Doosan Bears | 36c | 28.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Doosan Bears | 51c | 28.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kia Tigers | 53c | 27.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…8f36backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 24.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…5d69backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…1501backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 22.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 22.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…722ebacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…1b38backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kia Tigers | 78c | 14.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.