Tennis · resolved market
Santos: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Facundo Mena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ae864b6b53feaa1b45635ed7415f06c2a0a161cddb43c8e52647b3c05490d99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Facundo Menaof Daniel Dutra da Silva, Facundo Mena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…5051backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 11c | 5,201$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Facundo Mena | 60c | 3,199$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.99 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 17c | 2,942$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.81 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 53c | 1,259$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.67 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 37c | 1,237$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.46 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Facundo Mena | 49c | 978.68$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.66 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Facundo Mena | 67c | 746.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.83 | 184 | 62%114 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 23c | 629.32$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.17 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 38c | 587.74$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.34 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Facundo Mena | 62c | 534.34$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.33 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 33c | 500.33$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.11 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…542dbacked Facundo Mena | 56c | 499.61$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.95 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 12c | 488.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Facundo Mena | 70c | 456.19$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 33c | 437.94$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.23 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…50d7backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Facundo Mena | 46c | 400$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 327 | 35.5%116 W · 211 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 38c | 382.94$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 23c | 349.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 12c | 315$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…10f8backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 57c | 313.51$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 11c | 295.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Facundo Mena | 64c | 289.14$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 21c | 287.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Facundo Mena | 54c | 279.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.37 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 11c | 263.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Facundo Mena | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 35c | 242.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 38c | 230.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 59c | 161.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Facundo Mena | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 45c | 157.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 63c | 153.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 14c | 144.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 329 | 37.1%122 W · 207 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Facundo Mena | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 20c | 134.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 31c | 131.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Facundo Mena | 39c | 114.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Facundo Mena | 65c | 108$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Facundo Mena | 62c | 106.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 35c | 104.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 22c | 101.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 35c | 91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 51c | 89.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Facundo Mena | 36c | 84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 352 | 48.6%171 W · 181 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Facundo Mena | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 35c | 74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 30c | 70.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Facundo Mena | 65c | 61.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 26c | 51.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Facundo Mena | 64c | 47.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 46c | 43.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…76d4backed Facundo Mena | 45c | 42.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Facundo Mena | 74c | 40.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…dbcfbacked Facundo Mena | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Facundo Mena | 51c | 39.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…904ebacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 42c | 38.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 236 | 34.7%82 W · 154 L | -37.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Facundo Mena | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Daniel Dutra da Silva | 59c | 33.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd021…6f4ebacked Facundo Mena | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Facundo Mena | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…e6c2backed Facundo Mena | 65c | 27.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Daniel Dutra da Silva | 38c | 27.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Facundo Mena | 67c | 23.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Facundo Mena | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 217 | 65.9%143 W · 74 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.