Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Samford Bulldogs vs. Mercer Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ce2b04fc33ade0857b27064e5fcc83e4f1ff4f75ceccc6ab73cb31357405276
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercer Bearsof Samford Bulldogs, Mercer Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Samford Bulldogs | 27c | 7,541$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mercer Bears | 72c | 2,955$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.86 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Mercer Bears | 69c | 2,556$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.51 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mercer Bears | 68c | 2,204$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.18 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Samford Bulldogs | 37c | 2,073$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.13 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Samford Bulldogs | 29c | 753.38$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.45 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Samford Bulldogs | 28c | 751.49$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.68 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Mercer Bears | 78c | 719.81$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.71 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Samford Bulldogs | 22c | 709.6$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.88 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mercer Bears | 62c | 498$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.24 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mercer Bears | 73c | 463.08$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.57 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Mercer Bears | 67c | 433.62$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.64 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mercer Bears | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mercer Bears | 71c | 368.1$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.03 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mercer Bears | 70c | 348.61$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.28 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Mercer Bears | 78c | 333.66$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Samford Bulldogs | 39c | 299.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Mercer Bears | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mercer Bears | 66c | 288.42$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked Mercer Bears | 73c | 281.93$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mercer Bears | 50c | 264.95$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.68 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Samford Bulldogs | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Samford Bulldogs | 25c | 257.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Mercer Bears | 61c | 216.6$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.47 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mercer Bears | 72c | 201$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Samford Bulldogs | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Samford Bulldogs | 38c | 159.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Samford Bulldogs | 38c | 118.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Samford Bulldogs | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Mercer Bears | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Mercer Bears | 72c | 90.82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Mercer Bears | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Samford Bulldogs | 31c | 69.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Samford Bulldogs | 27c | 67.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Mercer Bears | 61c | 67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Mercer Bears | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Samford Bulldogs | 34c | 60.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Samford Bulldogs | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Mercer Bears | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Mercer Bears | 70c | 56.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Samford Bulldogs | 37c | 54.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Samford Bulldogs | 31c | 50.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Samford Bulldogs | 31c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Mercer Bears | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Samford Bulldogs | 26c | 39.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Samford Bulldogs | 42c | 37.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mercer Bears | 55c | 36.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Samford Bulldogs | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Mercer Bears | 66c | 21.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked Mercer Bears | 69c | 17.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Mercer Bears | 69c | 14.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Samford Bulldogs vs. Mercer Bearsthis page
- Samford Bulldogs vs. Mercer Bears: O/U 154.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.