Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Taipei 2 Men: Kai-I Wang vs Ryota Tanuma
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d2d4f8bb7275a7f2a2cb22ef878aa8a4c46fa86dec7c5c7c6e5492ddb53cfa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kai-I Wangof Kai-I Wang, Ryota Tanuma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kai-I Wang | 58c | 6,847$3,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.44 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Ryota Tanuma | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 256 | 39.8%102 W · 154 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Ryota Tanuma | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 448 | 32.1%144 W · 304 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ryota Tanuma | 20c | 1,513$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.74 | 4,992 | 38.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L | -19.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Kai-I Wang | 13c | 1,495$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303 | 999 | 41.1%411 W · 588 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ryota Tanuma | 48c | 1,367$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.65 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Ryota Tanuma | 15c | 1,347$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 256 | 57.8%148 W · 108 L | +19.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ryota Tanuma | 38c | 1,346$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.29 | 2,781 | 53.8%1,495 W · 1,286 L | +71.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Kai-I Wang | 25c | 612.2$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.15 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ryota Tanuma | 20c | 610$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 4,510 | 51.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L | +135.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Kai-I Wang | 50c | 610$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kai-I Wang | 20c | 599.98$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.37 | 7,129 | 39.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L | -14.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ryota Tanuma | 19c | 591.5$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…dffdbacked Kai-I Wang | 67c | 470.12$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Kai-I Wang | 16c | 390.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.91 | 405 | 35.8%145 W · 260 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Kai-I Wang | 63c | 332.69$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 1,073 | 57.6%618 W · 455 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Ryota Tanuma | 42c | 320.07$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.23 | 721 | 29.7%214 W · 507 L | -41.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x953a…624cbacked Ryota Tanuma | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Kai-I Wang | 16c | 294.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.74 | 2,899 | 39.6%1,147 W · 1,752 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Kai-I Wang | 54c | 259.53$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.94 | 1,742 | 50.2%875 W · 867 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Kai-I Wang | 25c | 235.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 834 | 57.1%476 W · 358 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kai-I Wang | 58c | 226.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 3,885 | 55%2,137 W · 1,748 L | +111.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Kai-I Wang | 16c | 206.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.82 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ryota Tanuma | 48c | 189.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Ryota Tanuma | 15c | 188$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ryota Tanuma | 21c | 186.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 3,749 | 42.5%1,594 W · 2,155 L | -44.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Kai-I Wang | 61c | 176.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Ryota Tanuma | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 444 | 44.6%198 W · 246 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Kai-I Wang | 27c | 168$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 3,279 | 40.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Ryota Tanuma | 51c | 163.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.93 | 1,991 | 52.9%1,053 W · 938 L | +31.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf889…c9fbbacked Ryota Tanuma | 28c | 149.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Ryota Tanuma | 28c | 141.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | +43.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Ryota Tanuma | 21c | 135.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 347 | 47.8%166 W · 181 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Ryota Tanuma | 71c | 133.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 1,140 | 45.4%518 W · 622 L | -34.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ryota Tanuma | 21c | 112.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…b234backed Ryota Tanuma | 28c | 108.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Kai-I Wang | 29c | 103.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 981 | 56%549 W · 432 L | +23.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Kai-I Wang | 29c | 103.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 1,023 | 50%511 W · 512 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Ryota Tanuma | 41c | 103.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 609 | 46%280 W · 329 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Kai-I Wang | 29c | 101.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 183 | 54.6%100 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Kai-I Wang | 67c | 100.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 792 | 48.5%384 W · 408 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Ryota Tanuma | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 195 | 24.1%47 W · 148 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…9980backed Ryota Tanuma | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Kai-I Wang | 67c | 95.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 215 | 63.3%136 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Kai-I Wang | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Kai-I Wang | 78c | 63.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Ryota Tanuma | 40c | 62.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 656 | 37.5%246 W · 410 L | -33.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc8…ff04backed Kai-I Wang | 80c | 62.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Kai-I Wang | 69c | 56.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 795 | 38.4%305 W · 490 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…6b00backed Ryota Tanuma | 79c | 56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 496 | 51.4%255 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Ryota Tanuma | 77c | 54.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 250 | 42%105 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ryota Tanuma | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kai-I Wang | 25c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 3,891 | 35%1,362 W · 2,529 L | +93.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Ryota Tanuma | 40c | 48.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Ryota Tanuma | 40c | 48.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Kai-I Wang | 56c | 46.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 1,472 | 45%662 W · 810 L | +42.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…23b4backed Kai-I Wang | 30c | 45.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Kai-I Wang | 27c | 43.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Kai-I Wang | 27c | 41.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Ryota Tanuma | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Kai-I Wang | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Ryota Tanuma | 50c | 24.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 644 | 26.2%169 W · 475 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Ryota Tanuma | 80c | 22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 136 | 61%83 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kai-I Wang | 62c | 20.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 3,731 | 45.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed Kai-I Wang | 79c | 20.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Kai-I Wang | 73c | 20.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 1,316 | 39%513 W · 803 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed Ryota Tanuma | 69c | 20.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7857…76d9backed Kai-I Wang | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Ryota Tanuma | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 294 | 68.7%202 W · 92 L | +14.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Ryota Tanuma | 72c | 16.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Ryota Tanuma | 67c | 16.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 747 | 46.1%344 W · 403 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Ryota Tanuma | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Ryota Tanuma | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 480 | 46.3%222 W · 258 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.