Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e784a89022f4b75f9a17791c900a781c6ca9a2c0642cdef21fbe77b97cdc410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1660…5598backed Over | 32c | 5,050$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 68c | 4,980$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.36 | 259 | 46.7%121 W · 138 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 28c | 2,955$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.2 | 706 | 41.5%293 W · 413 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 73c | 784.27$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.89 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 75c | 664.08$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 75c | 572.72$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.24 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Under | 56c | 352.23$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 376 | 62%233 W · 143 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 46c | 330.64$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.17 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 15c | 272.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 31c | 230$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.7 | 560 | 34.8%195 W · 365 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 76c | 225.06$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.04 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 69c | 189.23$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 39c | 174.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 53c | 142.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked Under | 53c | 138.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Under | 41c | 81.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…698abacked Over | 47c | 80.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -13.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 68c | 66.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 47c | 62.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35c…33c8backed Over | 56c | 61.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 405 | 43.7%177 W · 228 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 54c | 58.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Under | 70c | 57.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 411 | 41.6%171 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4d…975bbacked Under | 52c | 38.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…637cbacked Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 215 | 44.7%96 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…1e74backed Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 65c | 17.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 75c | 13.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5)HANJIN BRION won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-InKT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 4 WinnerKT Rolster won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.