Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40261f64cd32d4633fda29d99843c2bd6b52074efc6136591bb5692bb2bfa2ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 55c | 38,609$21,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,291.46 | 706 | 41.5%293 W · 413 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 38,024$17,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,174.79 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7986…baa5backed Under | 30c | 3,872$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.67 | 216 | 47.7%103 W · 113 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 70c | 2,603$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.9 | 464 | 50.6%235 W · 229 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 26c | 1,862$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.77 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 70c | 1,187$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.96 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 37c | 918.89$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.1 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…5598backed Over | 70c | 633.81$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 65c | 549.6$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.17 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 74c | 514.93$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Over | 56c | 446.01$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…698abacked Over | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -13.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 392$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.66 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 70c | 338.01$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…470dbacked Over | 52c | 330$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 31c | 299.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Over | 71c | 292.96$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Under | 56c | 261.07$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 75c | 261$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Under | 34c | 260.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 266 | 41%109 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Over | 71c | 250$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 1,348 | 47.3%637 W · 711 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…2f34backed Over | 54c | 206.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 376 | 62%233 W · 143 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 350 | 60.3%211 W · 139 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…8dd9backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb371…472abacked Over | 69c | 188.41$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 34c | 188.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Under | 24c | 156$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 657 | 25.9%170 W · 487 L | -93.4wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Under | 43c | 155$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Over | 69c | 145.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…e96ebacked Under | 53c | 143.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 31c | 139.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 483 | 57.1%276 W · 207 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 67c | 106.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 10c | 106$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed Over | 73c | 104.35$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 392 | 44.9%176 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…9b9ebacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Under | 33c | 98.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 50c | 87.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 23c | 79.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 31c | 69.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 168 | 41.7%70 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 56c | 63.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35c…33c8backed Over | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 50c | 54.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 230 | 66.1%152 W · 78 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…1538backed Under | 48c | 51.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…b95fbacked Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 200 | 71%142 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 70c | 49.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Under | 48c | 47.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 228 | 55.7%127 W · 101 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…62c7backed Over | 67c | 42.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5c…a610backed Over | 67c | 40.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec64…6eadbacked Over | 67c | 40.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…d424backed Over | 54c | 36.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…d463backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Under | 49c | 35.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 520 | 46%239 W · 281 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Over | 67c | 35.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 167 | 60.5%101 W · 66 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 63c | 35.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…d80dbacked Over | 67c | 32.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 290 | 45.5%132 W · 158 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…8b63backed Over | 68c | 26.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 57c | 25.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…65dbbacked Under | 43c | 25.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)HANJIN BRION won
- Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+2.5)HANJIN BRION won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-InKT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 WinnerHANJIN BRION won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 4 WinnerKT Rolster won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.