Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ea3630261a50df7f01756366f52f06df6cc3f62e5003278239dd1c4c76a09cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf189…8e47backed No | 77c | 3,363$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.99 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,289$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c2…0449backed Yes | 45c | 2,275$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 12c | 1,169$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.38 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 10c | 972.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes | 7c | 929.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 112 | 12.5%14 W · 98 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 42c | 766$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.07 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 34c | 608.75$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.63 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 7c | 475$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 97 | 9.3%9 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 5c | 405.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 68c | 355$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.28 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 9c | 326.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 289.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed Yes | 49c | 254.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcf…950ebacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 31c | 158.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 63c | 155.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e58…4943backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 11c | 140.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 185 | 40.5%75 W · 110 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 138.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 218 | 15.6%34 W · 184 L | -37.8wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 133.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 9c | 132$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28b4…d5d4backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e96…0d3ebacked Yes | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 54c | 101.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…def5backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -11.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed Yes | 21c | 99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed No | 41c | 71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…09d5backed Yes | 51c | 63.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747e…3e23backed Yes | 47c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084a…2a51backed No | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3c…de59backed Yes | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8a…8f29backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…cdb9backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1862…8b0fbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…3d43backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…21b9backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…5e45backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…4979backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…04e3backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…0b0fbacked Yes | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d43…80acbacked No | 47c | 35.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0067…3cfabacked Yes | 51c | 32.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3406…6ce0backed No | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f2…e77abacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June?this page
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in June?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in June?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in June?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in June?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in June?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.