Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f7a9690de5431c036ba7048fcb0b959f487f012701bccb0697814a637037201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 71c | 2,641$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.96 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 26c | 2,569$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.04 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 30c | 1,837$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.17 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…79dbbacked Under | 70c | 1,427$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.57 | 301 | 60.8%183 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Over | 30c | 1,277$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.94 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…d1acbacked Over | 31c | 961.68$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.12 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -63%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 69c | 900.81$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.25 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 18c | 504.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…aaaebacked Over | 40c | 500.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 16c | 495.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 69c | 356$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 70c | 325$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…0a62backed Under | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 443 | 50.8%225 W · 218 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 70c | 283.81$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c5…378abacked Under | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 158 | 60.8%96 W · 62 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 31c | 206.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Over | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 72c | 163$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 29c | 144.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Under | 71c | 100.87$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 364 | 60.2%219 W · 145 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 36c | 94.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 69c | 67.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 31c | 65.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Over | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 312 | 44.6%139 W · 173 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 487 | 47%229 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 70c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 63c | 46.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…81d4backed Under | 69c | 43.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 30c | 33.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 63c | 31.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 70c | 30.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 70c | 28.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…8681backed Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 190 | 63.7%121 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 72c | 25.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…67edbacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 70c | 14.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2KT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.