Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on February 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ff82854ae74ae44f3a6e487e88a16410c2c3d05a3cf592853703cb54cb9b874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa717…faeabacked Yes | 22c | 1,131$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.75 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 66c | 472.76$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.27 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 69c | 318.9$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed Yes | 28c | 307.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…1ea1backed Yes | 37c | 302.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 63c | 248.92$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked No | 75c | 240.05$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 33c | 210.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 36c | 205.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 25c | 189.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…3296backed Yes | 26c | 180$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9727…8248backed Yes | 64c | 176.74$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 41c | 175$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 68c | 172.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 33c | 165.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4742…a58dbacked Yes | 36c | 138.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 134.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb905…1640backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 63c | 124.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 104.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…3de8backed Yes | 34c | 103.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 685 | 21.5%147 W · 538 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…7825backed No | 72c | 103.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 106 | 14.2%15 W · 91 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 34c | 102.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 26c | 95.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 30c | 90.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 69c | 88.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 26c | 82.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed No | 74c | 80.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 75 | 76%57 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 34c | 75.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fb…9816backed Yes | 67c | 74.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…2aa9backed Yes | 29c | 74.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 165 | 32.7%54 W · 111 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…efa9backed Yes | 39c | 73.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 52c | 72.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2efd…d295backed Yes | 36c | 71.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 38c | 71.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…9c94backed Yes | 68c | 69.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b2…e50abacked Yes | 44c | 68.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…9f2abacked Yes | 59c | 68.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…1bebbacked Yes | 43c | 65.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 276 | 48.6%134 W · 142 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…1b7cbacked Yes | 36c | 64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…ee84backed No | 68c | 60.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 34c | 59.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 35c | 59.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9c6bbacked No | 34c | 59.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 40c | 58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x276e…e8edbacked Yes | 35c | 56.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…6f34backed Yes | 34c | 56.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…13bebacked Yes | 32c | 55.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…34efbacked Yes | 66c | 53.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…ad6bbacked Yes | 35c | 53.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…e27abacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4e…d839backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 227 | 28.6%65 W · 162 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e0…69e3backed No | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 66c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Yes | 36c | 48.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…f3ecbacked No | 70c | 48.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 34c | 47.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…4f09backed Yes | 51c | 45.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…9040backed Yes | 38c | 44.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 41.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b1…4a60backed No | 68c | 41.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531e…a7b3backed Yes | 43c | 41.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…14debacked Yes | 39c | 40.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…0a6ebacked Yes | 44c | 40.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…1179backed Yes | 35c | 39.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 232 | 31%72 W · 160 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e7…6ecfbacked Yes | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…e18dbacked No | 67c | 37.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…f5c3backed No | 66c | 36.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…0807backed No | 47c | 36.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed Yes | 35c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06e…95a1backed No | 36c | 35.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…d902backed Yes | 39c | 35.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 35.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 70c | 35.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 70c | 34.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 60c | 33.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…7ef8backed Yes | 36c | 31.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 34c | 31.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 63c | 30.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…3c05backed No | 64c | 30.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 57c | 29.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f6…5d2dbacked Yes | 34c | 29.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 77 | 19.5%15 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…100abacked No | 67c | 28.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 85 | 65.9%56 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 38c | 27.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…ca6bbacked No | 75c | 26.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…c9bcbacked No | 50c | 26.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…7c31backed No | 53c | 25.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5830…f928backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 43c | 24.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf465…8a3bbacked No | 72c | 24.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 40 | 80%32 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…0a73backed Yes | 44c | 24.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked No | 65c | 22.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…815abacked No | 61c | 21.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 73c | 21.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…34d2backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 66 | 74.2%49 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on February 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on February 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on February 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on February 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on February 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.