Tennis · resolved market
Quito: Gustavo Almeida vs Samuel Heredia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5104b058e33c85ac0e48be900001adc927d91906c5d0d18d53170fb1b84191ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samuel Herediaof Gustavo Almeida, Samuel Heredia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Samuel Heredia | 46c | 6,733$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.89 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gustavo Almeida | 53c | 5,294$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.66 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samuel Heredia | 31c | 2,857$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.71 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Gustavo Almeida | 72c | 2,501$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.92 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Samuel Heredia | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.85 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Gustavo Almeida | 44c | 2,140$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.64 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Gustavo Almeida | 29c | 2,000$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.52 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Samuel Heredia | 79c | 877.56$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.52 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gustavo Almeida | 26c | 831.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.16 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Gustavo Almeida | 73c | 681.66$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.25 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Samuel Heredia | 28c | 609.43$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.19 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gustavo Almeida | 25c | 522.1$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.32 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Gustavo Almeida | 68c | 437$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.7 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Samuel Heredia | 52c | 423$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.19 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Gustavo Almeida | 17c | 415.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Samuel Heredia | 62c | 400$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.7 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Samuel Heredia | 67c | 391.52$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…141bbacked Gustavo Almeida | 35c | 337.19$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Gustavo Almeida | 14c | 323.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Samuel Heredia | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Gustavo Almeida | 10c | 299.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samuel Heredia | 66c | 296.34$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Gustavo Almeida | 7c | 290$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Samuel Heredia | 41c | 274.89$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.43 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Samuel Heredia | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 202 | 70.8%143 W · 59 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gustavo Almeida | 10c | 248.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Gustavo Almeida | 51c | 232.18$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.83 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Gustavo Almeida | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Gustavo Almeida | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Gustavo Almeida | 21c | 197.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Gustavo Almeida | 72c | 196.98$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.52 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Samuel Heredia | 62c | 180.57$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 548 | 44.5%244 W · 304 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Samuel Heredia | 29c | 173.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.01 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Gustavo Almeida | 42c | 158$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Samuel Heredia | 27c | 146.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Gustavo Almeida | 48c | 134.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Samuel Heredia | 41c | 133.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Samuel Heredia | 29c | 111.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Gustavo Almeida | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Gustavo Almeida | 69c | 86.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Samuel Heredia | 52c | 83.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Gustavo Almeida | 35c | 74.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 249 | 28.9%72 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Gustavo Almeida | 68c | 57.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 568 | 48.9%278 W · 290 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Samuel Heredia | 50c | 56.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 952 | 37.7%359 W · 593 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc82…a7c8backed Samuel Heredia | 27c | 54.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Gustavo Almeida | 56c | 51.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…cf89backed Samuel Heredia | 27c | 40.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Samuel Heredia | 27c | 40.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Gustavo Almeida | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Samuel Heredia | 71c | 35.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Gustavo Almeida | 47c | 33.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Samuel Heredia | 37c | 31.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Samuel Heredia | 48c | 29.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Samuel Heredia | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Samuel Heredia | 66c | 28.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Samuel Heredia | 54c | 26.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Gustavo Almeida | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed Gustavo Almeida | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gustavo Almeida | 67c | 18.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Gustavo Almeida | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Quito: Gustavo Almeida vs Samuel Herediathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Almeida vs HerediaHeredia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.