MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5117e7ad63e40e0b90fcd5c64980258453d86f969591d74819b01a01370a8cd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Los Angeles Dodgers, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 53,267$22,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,449.85 | 1,449 | 49.5%717 W · 732 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 33,230$18,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,232.79 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 8,832$5,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.76 | 753 | 50.6%381 W · 372 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 73c | 7,357$5,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.34 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 27c | 6,753$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.15 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 2,510$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.97 | 1,478 | 51%754 W · 724 L | -19.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 2,256$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.96 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 2,048$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.64 | 2,327 | 51.1%1,188 W · 1,139 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,944$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.08 | 4,534 | 49%2,220 W · 2,314 L | -41.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,520$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.6 | 3,562 | 51%1,817 W · 1,745 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 1,137$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.21 | 1,877 | 50.2%943 W · 934 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 1,036$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.73 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 844.49$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.87 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…3269backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 645.61$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…e9f8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 576$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 552.2$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.45 | 1,697 | 49.1%834 W · 863 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…b0b8backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 423$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…f1f9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 421.12$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Atlanta Braves | 78c | 389.9$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.15 | 1,939 | 44.5%862 W · 1,077 L | -29.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 354$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 455 | 51.4%234 W · 221 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 350.44$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.18 | 581 | 53%308 W · 273 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd5…af99backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 251.72$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 27c | 210.66$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 195.12$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 1,224 | 54%661 W · 563 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 22c | 187.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 1,975 | 41.3%815 W · 1,160 L | -27.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…5c37backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 184.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 184.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 171.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.72 | 5,567 | 50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L | +25.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 62c | 137.87$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 3,139 | 48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L | -10.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3618…b2b2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 97.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 1,979 | 53.2%1,052 W · 927 L | +45.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 91.91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 360 | 52.2%188 W · 172 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 75.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 579 | 44.6%258 W · 321 L | -35.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 69.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 394 | 51.5%203 W · 191 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atlanta Braves | 72c | 62.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 5,861 | 43.7%2,562 W · 3,299 L | -190.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 58.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 2,200 | 40.2%884 W · 1,316 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 372 | 51.6%192 W · 180 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 29c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 872 | 54.2%473 W · 399 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 46.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 441 | 49%216 W · 225 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 36.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 8,484 | 47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L | +79.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 34.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 747 | 52.5%392 W · 355 L | +17.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 4,445 | 45%2,001 W · 2,444 L | +87.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 31.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Atlanta Braves | 67c | 31.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 944 | 56.5%533 W · 411 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…d492backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Atlanta Braves | 68c | 27.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 1,258 | 44%553 W · 705 L | -33.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 26.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…a57cbacked Atlanta Braves | 75c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Atlanta Braves | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…22c9backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 23.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 940 | 69.3%651 W · 289 L | +93.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 17.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 16.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 16.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 1,292 | 56.8%734 W · 558 L | +31.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.