MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5ddea4dc7bef859a1c42d1b1c0f70b8ae6cb52eb44fe3d4fc25a8838835e897
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 54c | 215,770$115,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,035.35 | 490 | 49%240 W · 250 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 46c | 65,817$30,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,500.99 | 4,427 | 47.5%2,101 W · 2,326 L | -77.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 47c | 21,314$9,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,917.99 | 3,562 | 51%1,817 W · 1,745 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 46c | 20,522$9,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,440.09 | 908 | 46.5%422 W · 486 L | +27.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 17,727$8,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200.6 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 46c | 13,168$6,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120.36 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Under | 46c | 13,123$6,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,036.61 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 47c | 12,194$5,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,734.03 | 1,478 | 51%754 W · 724 L | -19.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 53c | 10,781$5,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,067.03 | 1,449 | 49.5%717 W · 732 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 5,747$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701 | 6,132 | 55.4%3,395 W · 2,737 L | +346.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 1,310 | 50.2%658 W · 652 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 47c | 4,212$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.92 | 816 | 47.4%387 W · 429 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 3,537$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.15 | 1,604 | 48.6%779 W · 825 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 503 | 51.9%261 W · 242 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 47c | 2,787$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.85 | 803 | 55.7%447 W · 356 L | +22.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 46c | 2,438$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.49 | 486 | 50.2%244 W · 242 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 483 | 48.4%234 W · 249 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 2,249$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.33 | 5,567 | 50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L | +25.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 2,048$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.56 | 2,327 | 51.1%1,188 W · 1,139 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Under | 46c | 2,006$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.76 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 464 | 51.1%237 W · 227 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 655 | 52.5%344 W · 311 L | +29.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 47c | 1,534$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.9 | 384 | 49%188 W · 196 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 1,444$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.44 | 1,019 | 44.7%455 W · 564 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 581 | 53%308 W · 273 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 46c | 1,168$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.17 | 3,139 | 48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L | -10.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 46c | 914.21$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.53 | 1,697 | 49.1%834 W · 863 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 874.99$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.03 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 47c | 850$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 885 | 50.4%446 W · 439 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 761$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.06 | 1,548 | 48.6%753 W · 795 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 47c | 639.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 292 | 52.4%153 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 47c | 619.09$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.97 | 1,745 | 49.1%857 W · 888 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 47c | 619.09$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.97 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 46c | 608$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.68 | 1,141 | 42.7%487 W · 654 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 8,484 | 47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L | +79.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Under | 54c | 580.71$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.9 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 47c | 574.68$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.1 | 360 | 52.2%188 W · 172 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 46c | 567.51$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.29 | 1,906 | 49.3%940 W · 966 L | +25.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 47c | 512$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.08 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 53c | 505.28$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.48 | 459 | 58.4%268 W · 191 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,855 | 50.6%939 W · 916 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 718 | 44.3%318 W · 400 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Under | 47c | 463.83$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 47c | 416.66$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.83 | 2,597 | 61.5%1,596 W · 1,001 L | +72.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 414.04$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.44 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…3487backed Under | 47c | 360.13$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.26 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…95d4backed Under | 47c | 323.4$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 293$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 2,372 | 49.7%1,179 W · 1,193 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 47c | 287.34$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 419 | 48.4%203 W · 216 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…d117backed Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 154 | 49.4%76 W · 78 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 247$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.62 | 491 | 46.4%228 W · 263 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 58c | 231.88$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 1,258 | 44%553 W · 705 L | -33.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Under | 47c | 229.87$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…6122backed Under | 12c | 213.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Under | 46c | 187.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 46c | 177$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 147.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 581 | 39.4%229 W · 352 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 47c | 128.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 747 | 52.5%392 W · 355 L | +17.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…ed7bbacked Over | 77c | 119.2$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…1306backed Under | 47c | 112.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 47c | 111.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…7302backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 103.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 3,036 | 48%1,458 W · 1,578 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 312 | 47.8%149 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 46c | 99.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 413 | 41.2%170 W · 243 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,939 | 44.5%862 W · 1,077 L | -29.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 4,120 | 57.6%2,375 W · 1,745 L | +67.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Under | 47c | 61.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 47c | 61.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 52c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 60.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 681 | 53.3%363 W · 318 L | +30.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 47c | 51.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,444 | 50.1%1,225 W · 1,219 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Under | 50c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…1012backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5692…b1b0backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 47c | 41.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 47c | 38.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1,292 | 56.8%734 W · 558 L | +31.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 54c | 37.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 231 | 48.5%112 W · 119 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…f338backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 47c | 28.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,049 | 51.9%544 W · 505 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…a441backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 48c | 21.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 940 | 69.3%651 W · 289 L | +93.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.