Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x513d8d649bc270c1a8fd1e0e17b5643f2c90078c8c3aac8f9e4be1370313dae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 37c | 454.89$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.55 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 53c | 260.7$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 61c | 254$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 41c | 245.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 47c | 197.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…8c7ebacked Yes | 35c | 196.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 175.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 14c | 167.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 71c | 141.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…aa8dbacked No | 77c | 126.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 79c | 111.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 39c | 108.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 47c | 106.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 45c | 103.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 101.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 44c | 99.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 96.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8746…f522backed Yes | 31c | 95.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 28c | 93.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 26c | 91.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 80c | 87.19$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6783…a6b0backed No | 60c | 82.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 43c | 82.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 47c | 81.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 26c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 76c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed No | 75c | 66.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 29c | 62.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 21c | 62.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 35c | 61.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 52c | 60.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 66c | 57.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 66c | 57.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…d801backed Yes | 48c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…52e2backed No | 73c | 54.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 47c | 47.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 79c | 46.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 23c | 46.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…7cb8backed Yes | 43c | 44.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 55c | 43.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…e6ddbacked No | 50c | 41.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 50c | 41.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked No | 64c | 41.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 241 | 41.9%101 W · 140 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 40c | 38.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 54c | 36.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 62c | 35.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…ab3ebacked Yes | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 38c | 33.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 37c | 33.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed No | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 68c | 31.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 70c | 30.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed No | 56c | 29.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 28.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c10…5269backed No | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 58c | 25.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a4…9240backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadda…684cbacked No | 80c | 24.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 85 | 80%68 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc14b…a589backed No | 55c | 23.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 61c | 23.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 48c | 23.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…073abacked Yes | 45c | 22.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…50b1backed No | 61c | 21.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 129 | 72.1%93 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 68c | 20.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 293 | 54.3%159 W · 134 L | -25.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 138 | 62.3%86 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 63c | 19.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed No | 77c | 13.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.