Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc77e5e7edfc8264b055a57f9ec2801d6a8f6b5ff789ef618d220785742dd4e5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 4c | 1,028$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 16c | 415.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 33c | 386.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.1 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 64c | 330.31$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.78 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 32c | 315.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.98 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…073abacked Yes | 76c | 278.27$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 65c | 254$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.95 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 201.92$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 52c | 178.22$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 177.72$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…00b2backed Yes | 28c | 175$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.54 | 145 | 24.1%35 W · 110 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 67c | 157.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 37c | 153.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 37c | 153.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.49 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 20c | 146.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked No | 72c | 139.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 31c | 133.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 41c | 119$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 57c | 113$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed No | 37c | 111.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 37c | 111.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 39c | 109.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 67c | 109.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…8c7ebacked Yes | 35c | 100.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 39c | 100.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 21c | 91.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 22c | 91.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 14c | 90.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 64c | 87.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 23c | 87.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 60c | 85.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 37c | 81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 34c | 73.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed Yes | 29c | 72.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 79c | 70.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 59c | 65.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 62c | 64.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 64c | 64.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed No | 62c | 64.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 62c | 62.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 33c | 62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 50c | 59.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed Yes | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 50c | 51.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 36c | 50.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 38c | 50.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 37c | 50.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…866abacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 28c | 46.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 37c | 43.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 35c | 43.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 70c | 43.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…75ddbacked Yes | 29c | 39.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 241 | 41.9%101 W · 140 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 32c | 38.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 30c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841b…a2a7backed Yes | 39c | 37.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 37c | 37.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca4…118dbacked No | 64c | 37.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 63c | 36.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 45c | 34.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…66b4backed No | 61c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd9…9591backed No | 60c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…0ecfbacked Yes | 76c | 32.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 68c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 42c | 31.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…d08cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…c67fbacked Yes | 37c | 30.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 58c | 30.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 63c | 30.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 36c | 28.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14b…a589backed Yes | 37c | 27.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5469…c822backed No | 46c | 26.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7099…791bbacked No | 42c | 26.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed No | 56c | 25.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 68c | 23.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3c…c6d8backed No | 71c | 23.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…4d78backed No | 64c | 22.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…b287backed Yes | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…db37backed No | 57c | 18.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 75c | 18.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Yes | 68c | 16.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…e864backed No | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc197…3099backed No | 70c | 15.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9600backed Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a8…be9bbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.