MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x562de4a9396364326753a4a7d718a968c4cebc8cc4ded9fe2f797c9a8195780b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Lotte Giants, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Doosan Bears | 67c | 3,314$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.8 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 2,021$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.28 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Lotte Giants | 1c | 1,655$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 1,412$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.11 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lotte Giants | 31c | 1,232$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.74 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Doosan Bears | 66c | 1,095$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Lotte Giants | 24c | 1,003$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.84 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Lotte Giants | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 961.78$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.6 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Doosan Bears | 71c | 899.42$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.38 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 692.13$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.46 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 568$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.33 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 491$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.31 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…8729backed Lotte Giants | 14c | 467.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 427.43$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Lotte Giants | 50c | 418.94$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.47 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lotte Giants | 20c | 374.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Lotte Giants | 19c | 344.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Lotte Giants | 44c | 341.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 311.83$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.82 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 310.95$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.38 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lotte Giants | 19c | 269.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…2f8bbacked Lotte Giants | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 242.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 207.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Lotte Giants | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Lotte Giants | 35c | 198.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Lotte Giants | 37c | 197.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 192.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 169.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Doosan Bears | 75c | 167.62$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lotte Giants | 36c | 166.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Lotte Giants | 8c | 162$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lotte Giants | 31c | 156.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lotte Giants | 30c | 143$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…c2b8backed Lotte Giants | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lotte Giants | 27c | 125.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 120.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Lotte Giants | 38c | 116$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 111.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Lotte Giants | 36c | 106.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Doosan Bears | 47c | 104$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 103.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 40c | 100.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 70c | 98.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Doosan Bears | 55c | 85.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 67c | 78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 76.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 72.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 55.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Doosan Bears | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 48.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…e60abacked Doosan Bears | 65c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 47.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 34.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Doosan Bears | 60c | 30.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3a…7fdcbacked Doosan Bears | 74c | 26.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 18.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.