TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Francavilla: Alex Barrena vs August Holmgren

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
August Holmgrenof Alex Barrena, August Holmgren
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,541
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,541 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Alex Barrena44c3,642$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.4854345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked August Holmgren53c1,833$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.67,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed August Holmgren55c1,119$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.74,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xafb2…0942backed Alex Barrena52c1,013$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.863953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alex Barrena35c960.14$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.1611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Alex Barrena55c921.62$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.561,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed August Holmgren51c784.51$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.511,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked August Holmgren44c767.17$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.721,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed August Holmgren66c745.05$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.295,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed August Holmgren45c663.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.2427739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Alex Barrena73c600$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.5415442.2%65 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed August Holmgren57c554.78$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.668,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Alex Barrena56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Alex Barrena55c530$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.27241.7%30 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Alex Barrena55c499.98$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9936852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa164…7d86backed Alex Barrena51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022248.2%107 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Alex Barrena34c490$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.71,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed August Holmgren70c485.92$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9273458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Alex Barrena56c457.14$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Alex Barrena16c411.15$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.844,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Alex Barrena57c395.99$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7149447.2%233 W · 261 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd3…fed4backed August Holmgren71c372.39$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.347968.4%54 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Alex Barrena54c363.42$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.727,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked August Holmgren43c334.87$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.522,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked August Holmgren31c254.83$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.8532031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Alex Barrena48c235.48$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.464,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed August Holmgren44c215$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.44,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed August Holmgren39c211$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.281,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabbf…126cbacked August Holmgren43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11411050%55 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Alex Barrena20c199.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.211,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed August Holmgren52c191.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.869253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Alex Barrena57c173.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9965942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a0e…5e62backed Alex Barrena59c170.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33e…b4b6backed August Holmgren30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10518545.4%84 W · 101 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed August Holmgren43c149.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4939842.2%168 W · 230 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked August Holmgren46c146$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.847,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Alex Barrena57c144$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.081,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…ad11backed August Holmgren46c138.09$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.012334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked August Holmgren41c133.89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.991,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked August Holmgren43c130$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.15250%26 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Alex Barrena49c121.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7774346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Alex Barrena58c121.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.295848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked August Holmgren42c115.19$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8199056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed August Holmgren44c109.91$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5525245.2%114 W · 138 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c2…4939backed Alex Barrena58c105.48$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.18540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed August Holmgren43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked August Holmgren42c99.07$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.771,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Alex Barrena58c97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2634549.9%172 W · 173 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed August Holmgren43c96.64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.083,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed August Holmgren61c93.26$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.496,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Alex Barrena23c81.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.461,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked August Holmgren41c71.72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.382,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Barrena70c68.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.936,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked August Holmgren47c62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8655241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Alex Barrena43c60.65$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0956817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x49c8…3c52backed August Holmgren41c60.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7620234.2%69 W · 133 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed August Holmgren42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.124837.5%93 W · 155 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b2…0f1ebacked Alex Barrena56c56.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.46341.3%26 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Alex Barrena55c54.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Alex Barrena55c54.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.997,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed August Holmgren29c53.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.733,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed August Holmgren47c51.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.375262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked August Holmgren41c50.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Alex Barrena59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3088560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alex Barrena42c50.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.088,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed August Holmgren34c48.74$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2828348.4%137 W · 146 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Alex Barrena52c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.969628.1%27 W · 69 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Alex Barrena54c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.316529.1%48 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Alex Barrena57c43.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc75f…d7f6backed August Holmgren42c43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9420764.7%134 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed August Holmgren53c38.27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.95549.1%27 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91f4…d725backed Alex Barrena58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed August Holmgren34c34.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.444,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf78d…ac7abacked Alex Barrena59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Alex Barrena36c31.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.192,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed August Holmgren41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.749151.7%254 W · 237 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed August Holmgren46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.285748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked August Holmgren41c28.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.931346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb006…3458backed August Holmgren53c28.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.441266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e3b…380cbacked Alex Barrena38c26.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.032740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec6…698bbacked Alex Barrena41c26.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.718473.8%62 W · 22 L+24.4wins+0.29per pick45cpaid+68.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x089f…f599backed Alex Barrena47c25.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.015959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Alex Barrena69c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2543067%288 W · 142 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecda…6f0abacked Alex Barrena49c23.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.398554.1%46 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked Alex Barrena73c20.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521052.4%110 W · 100 L-12.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed Alex Barrena54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.86354%34 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Alex Barrena59c18.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117269.2%119 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Alex Barrena59c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0390340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c28…1041backed Alex Barrena77c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.552982.8%24 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.