TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91f4…d725

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+203%+$38.97
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.84
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$27.26
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+77%+$30.8
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Henderson Silver Knightsbacked Colorado Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Senators vs. Panthersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$12.17
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$8.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.