MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57361b3c573cafe6f4c760bbaa7b1ebee7a38c61c59938898542095b27160299
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Milwaukee Brewers, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 17,483$10,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,106.95 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 14,780$6,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,559.64 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 26c | 2,799$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.13 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 1,137$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.91 | 2,315 | 52.5%1,216 W · 1,099 L | +25.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 659$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.37 | 3,562 | 51%1,817 W · 1,745 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 564$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.25 | 1,894 | 52.9%1,001 W · 893 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 555.88$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.18 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1,855 | 50.6%939 W · 916 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 375.5$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.65 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 375.44$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 254.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 968 | 48.8%472 W · 496 L | -42.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 254.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 250.55$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.83 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 246.71$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 29c | 236$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 216$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 70c | 136.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 5,182 | 54.6%2,829 W · 2,353 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 126$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 753 | 50.6%381 W · 372 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 120.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 120.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 117.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 2,327 | 51.1%1,188 W · 1,139 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 112.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 4,201 | 50.2%2,109 W · 2,092 L | +94.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 92.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 3,467 | 51.2%1,775 W · 1,692 L | +105.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 91.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 88.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Milwaukee Brewers | 19c | 73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 934 | 46%430 W · 504 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 71.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 1,292 | 56.8%734 W · 558 L | +31.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1,975 | 41.3%815 W · 1,160 L | -27.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 60.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 56.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…df77backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 23c | 51.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 5,861 | 43.7%2,562 W · 3,299 L | -190.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309e…9eacbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 26c | 40.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Milwaukee Brewers | 27c | 39.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 38.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 3,866 | 42.3%1,636 W · 2,230 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 38.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,822 | 49.2%897 W · 925 L | -25.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 37.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 5,567 | 50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L | +25.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 34.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2,444 | 50.1%1,225 W · 1,219 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 28.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 28.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 24.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 69c | 22.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 940 | 69.3%651 W · 289 L | +93.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 4,120 | 57.6%2,375 W · 1,745 L | +67.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 77c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 4,534 | 49%2,220 W · 2,314 L | -41.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.